Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
802 FXUS65 KLKN 172100 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 200 PM PDT Tue Sep 17 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Continued cool and wet conditions remain for the next several days as fall-like weather settles over northern and central Nevada. By the end of the week, fairer weather is expected with temperatures returning to near average. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Wednesday night. The forecast area has been influenced by upper level low pressure that is now exiting the area to the northeast. In its place will be a very short reprieve of dry conditions through early Wednesday with another upper level trough moving into the area during the afternoon. The track of the upper low will follow a more southern trajectory with the best chances for accumulating precipitation in central Nevada. Overnight lows will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s with highs on Wednesday in the 50s and 60s. .LONG TERM...Thursday through next Tuesday. A trough of low pressure and cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms along with breezy winds Thursday through Friday afternoon. Storm total amounts will range from 0.10 to 0.25 inch of rain in central NV. Highs will cool into upper 50s to lower 60s with lows in the mid 30s under mostly cloudy skies. As the trough exits the region, a zonal flow pattern and dry weather returns for the weekend and into early next week. Highs will warm into the upper 60s to upper 70s with lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. && .AVIATION...Showers and thunderstorms expected today for portions of northern and central NV in the wake of a low pressure system exiting region. There is a 15% chance of thunderstorms today at KEKO with gusty outflow winds to 50 mph possible. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail with CIG/VIS reduction to MVFR at times from passing rain showers. Thunderstorms expected to diminish later this evening with isolated showers lingering over portions of northern NV, including KWMC and KBAM tonight. && .FIRE WEATHER...Look for a wet air mass to reside over the area through the next several days with brief breaks here and there. Shower and thunderstorm activity will continue for all zones through Wednesday with higher coverage percentages of showers and thunderstorms for the central Nevada zones, though zones in the north will remain moist. Relative humidity values will be high for this time of year with good recovery during the overnight. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 86/90/90/86