052
FXUS64 KLUB 202345
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
645 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

An upper-level ridge is currently centered over the ArkLaTex and is
expected to build westward towards our forecast area through the
short term period. Meanwhile, southeasterly surface winds have
maintained a moist environment this afternoon, influenced by the
remnants of Tropical Storm Alberto in northern Mexico. With cloud
cover and scattered showers moving northward through the CWA this
afternoon, high temperatures today are expected to be relatively
cool. Tonight`s lows should be mild, with low to mid 60s dewpoints
and continued cloud cover preventing much cooling overnight. Showers
will decrease in coverage tonight from the Rolling Plains first,
then westward. However, the western South Plains and far southwest
TXPH may see intermittent showers through Friday afternoon. Expect
seasonable temperatures tomorrow, with most areas 5-10 degrees
warmer than today`s highs.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

As we head into the weekend with a ridge moving to the west, cloud
cover will decrease as temperatures will begin to rise. Despite the
rising temperatures, the region will retain moisture quite well,
leading to heat indexes into the 90`s on Saturday and Sunday and
possibly into the low 100`s during the middle of next week, with
both Wednesday and Thursday representing the hottest days of the
forecast. Cloud cover and PoPs are also expected to increase for
Wednesday and Thursday, which both have the potential for low-end
severe weather scattered across the CWA. Although the severe weather
has the potential to reduce high temperatures, they remain far into
the forecast period, so confidence is low.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

On/off SHRA will be a nuisance mainly to LBB and PVW through the
night. Otherwise, VFR skies should give way to MVFR CIGs close to
sunrise from LBB-PVW before this and lingering SHRA dissipate by
midday.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...58
LONG TERM....58
AVIATION...93