Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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390 FXUS64 KLUB 210523 AFDLUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1223 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Friday) Issued at 233 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 An upper-level ridge is currently centered over the ArkLaTex and is expected to build westward towards our forecast area through the short term period. Meanwhile, southeasterly surface winds have maintained a moist environment this afternoon, influenced by the remnants of Tropical Storm Alberto in northern Mexico. With cloud cover and scattered showers moving northward through the CWA this afternoon, high temperatures today are expected to be relatively cool. Tonight`s lows should be mild, with low to mid 60s dewpoints and continued cloud cover preventing much cooling overnight. Showers will decrease in coverage tonight from the Rolling Plains first, then westward. However, the western South Plains and far southwest TXPH may see intermittent showers through Friday afternoon. Expect seasonable temperatures tomorrow, with most areas 5-10 degrees warmer than today`s highs. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 233 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 As we head into the weekend with a ridge moving to the west, cloud cover will decrease as temperatures will begin to rise. Despite the rising temperatures, the region will retain moisture quite well, leading to heat indexes into the 90`s on Saturday and Sunday and possibly into the low 100`s during the middle of next week, with both Wednesday and Thursday representing the hottest days of the forecast. Cloud cover and PoPs are also expected to increase for Wednesday and Thursday, which both have the potential for low-end severe weather scattered across the CWA. Although the severe weather has the potential to reduce high temperatures, they remain far into the forecast period, so confidence is low. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1219 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 VFR CIGs prevail early this morning but will be threatened by MVFR CIGs around sunrise at KLBB and KPVW. In addition, lingering showers will continue in the vicinity of LBB/PVW beginning around sunrise where they are expected to diminish around midday. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...58 LONG TERM....58 AVIATION...12