Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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898 FXUS64 KLZK 020531 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1231 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday) Issued at 249 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024 Latest data from KLZK radar indicate a few weak convective cells in northeast Arkansas, moving east. Regional radar data indicate a MCS developing to the east of the DFW metroplex, moving east. This system is expected to develop towards the LZK forecast area. Overnight, wIth a light and variable near surface flow and clear conditions, fog formation is supported. Will need to monitor near term forecasts to determine of any headlines are necessary. Next chance for widespread precipitation appears for late in this forecast period. Several forecast signals exist currently, pointing towards MCS development to develop across the central Kansas, then will approach the forecast area. Later forecasts will be able to refine the timing of this type of system. && .LONG TERM... (Monday Night through next Saturday) Issued at 249 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024 An active weather pattern is expected through the much of the period. Surface high pressure will be situated just to the east of the state as southerly flow supplies moisture into the state around the high pressure. Aloft, a quasi-zonal pattern is expected to set up allowing several disturbances to track across the area. As of this forecast package, severe weather is expected to remain on the low side...but not zero. Should any severe weather materialize with any MCS`s...damaging winds would be the main threat. QPF will depend on where rainfall sets up and tracks. For the most part, many areas across the state could see one to two inches through Friday with locally higher amounts possible. Temperatures are expected to be on the warmer side with highs in the mid 80s to mid 90s. Overnight lows are expected to drop into the mid 60s to lower 70s. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024 VFR conditions will prevail initially but patchy fog is expected to develop at some terminals overnight. MVFR conditions or briefly lower will be possible before VFR conditions return by late morning Sunday. Overall winds will be on the lighter side. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 68 87 70 87 / 10 50 40 40 Camden AR 69 89 70 90 / 0 30 20 20 Harrison AR 66 83 66 85 / 10 60 40 30 Hot Springs AR 70 88 71 87 / 10 40 30 20 Little Rock AR 71 89 73 89 / 10 40 30 30 Monticello AR 71 89 73 90 / 0 30 20 20 Mount Ida AR 69 86 70 86 / 10 40 30 20 Mountain Home AR 66 84 67 85 / 10 60 40 40 Newport AR 70 87 71 86 / 10 50 40 40 Pine Bluff AR 70 89 73 90 / 0 30 30 20 Russellville AR 70 87 71 88 / 10 50 30 30 Searcy AR 68 88 70 88 / 10 50 40 30 Stuttgart AR 71 88 74 88 / 10 40 30 30 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...55 LONG TERM....73 AVIATION...56