413
FXUS64 KMAF 261556
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1056 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 233 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

High clouds streaming across the region left over from evening
storms have kept temperatures from falling too much. Most locations
outside of the mountains are still in the 80s. Today looks very
similar to Tuesday as the upper ridge maintains itself centered just
to our west. Highs will climb back into the 100s for most with the
hottest temperatures once again along the Rio Grande (near 110).
Showers and storms are possible once again across SE NM south to the
Davis Mountains. While widespread severe weather is unlikely, a dry
subcloud layer will create gusty winds with any storm. The Permian
Basin will likely remain dry.

Ridging expands over the region Thursday so look for a continuation
of the hot temperatures with storms remaining over the higher
terrain and SE NM.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 233 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Very little changes Friday other than temperatures climbing a bit
higher. We could need some heat products for a few areas. Storm
chances remain out west, but this changes heading into the weekend.
By Saturday, the upper ridge will weaken and shift east while it
gets squeezed by a trough in the Northern Plains and another moving
across S TX. While we will continue to see scattered storms out west
in the higher terrain, a weak front will fire convection to our
north in the TX PH. These storms along with their outflow could move
south into northern portions of the Permian Basin late in the day.
This is where rain chances will be highest. With added low level
moisture, highs will decrease a few degrees and back into the upper
90s to near 100. Drier conditions are expected Sunday, but
temperatures will remain closer to normal. Ridging builds back
across the area next week with temperatures rising once again and
isolated storms confined to the higher terrain.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1052 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in return flow, gusty at
times. Forecast soundings develop a widespread cu field this
afternoon, w/bases starting 4.5-5 kft AGL, and at the end of the
forecast period, w/bases 4.5-6 kft AGL. Convection will be
possible this afternoon/evening KCNM/KHOB/KPEQ, but chances are
too low to warrant a mention attm.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               78 104  77 103 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 77 101  77 104 /  30  20  10  20
Dryden                   76 100  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            75 101  76 104 /   0   0   0  10
Guadalupe Pass           72  93  73  95 /  50  30  20  30
Hobbs                    74  99  74 103 /  20  10   0   0
Marfa                    65  96  65  98 /  30  20  10  30
Midland Intl Airport     76 101  76 101 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   77 101  76 102 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     77 104  77 106 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...44