260
FXUS64 KMAF 241044
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
544 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 130 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

There isn`t much to say that hasn`t been said already about this
week. Temperatures will climb to the upper 90s and lower 100s this
afternoon nearly everywhere minus the higher terrain. While not hot
enough yet for heat products, you should still take plenty of breaks
from the sun and drink lots of water. An isolated storm or two is
possible in the Davis Mountains, but it stays dry elsewhere.

Very little changes Tuesday regarding temperatures with highs likely
a couple of degrees hotter. Monsoonal moisture will pool to our west
and with daytime heating expect isolated storms to develop further
north into the Guadalupe and Sacramento Mountains by afternoon.
Given a dry subcloud layer, gusty winds will be possible with any
storm.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 130 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Upper ridging will begin to flatten across the South midweek, but
hot temperatures will remain in place. Nearly everyone could reach
100 Wednesday except for the higher terrain. Heat products will be
possible, especially for the Rio Grande where temperatures look to
climb near 110 degrees. Storm chances continue to trend upward out
west Wednesday as a disturbance looks to move across the higher
terrain out of Mexico. At least scattered showers and storms can be
expected; some with locally heavy rain.

The upper ridge expands late in the week stretching across the
entire southern U.S. Temperatures each afternoon will remain similar
with highs generally near or above 100 for most; cooler in the
mountains. Monsoonal moisture will continue across western areas
where subsidence is less leading to a daily occurrence of
scattered showers and storms into the weekend. Model guidance is
somewhat split, but a weak front could makes its way into the TX
PH this weekend. If storms form along this front, it could push it
further south than models indicate now. Will monitor for better
rain chances and slightly cooler temperatures!

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 544 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

VFR through the period with southeast winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               99  77 101  77 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 99  76 104  78 /   0   0  10  10
Dryden                   96  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            99  75 103  76 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           92  74  96  75 /  10  10  20  20
Hobbs                    97  72 101  74 /   0   0   0  10
Marfa                    94  65  97  67 /  20  10  20  20
Midland Intl Airport     97  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   98  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                    101  77 105  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29