949
FXUS64 KMAF 242243
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
543 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 156 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

A few weak showers and storms have popped across the Davis
Mountains and Stockton Plateau as a quickly diffusing boundary has
aided in their development. Activity will taper off tonight as
temperatures cool down. The main story will be a weak front
pushing into the Permian Basin and southeast New Mexico late
tonight. While not a potent front, a few showers may be seen along
the eastern zones as it moves through tonight. Otherwise, winds
shift to the north and northeast with low clouds briefly making an
appearance. Behind the front, drier and slightly cooler air take
hold with highs topping out in the 80s for most with 90s seen in
the Rio Grande Valley. Mainly clear skies hold on and with light
winds expected Wednesday night, lows fall into the upper 50s to
low 60s for most.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 156 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Increasing heights and thicknesses are indicated on both
deterministic and ensemble models for this week into the weekend
and next week. High temperatures a few degrees above average will
rise up to 5-10 degrees above average late this week into next
week, with high pressure in between low pressure over the eastern
Pacific Ocean and the western Atlantic Ocean resulting in clear,
dry conditions and allowing diurnal heating. At the same time,
southerly return flow aloft will be limited in this setup, so high
temperatures will not rise too far above average, mainly in the
80s and 90s for most of the area. Low temperatures will stay above
average, but with high temperatures mostly staying below the
triple digits, low temperatures will fall into the 50s and 60s
each night Thursday night through next Tuesday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 542 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours as a weak cold front
intrudes upon the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               65  83  58  84 /  10   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 62  86  59  89 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   68  91  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            65  88  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           61  79  59  83 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    60  84  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    59  83  53  84 /  10   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     65  84  59  85 /  10   0   0   0
Odessa                   66  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     67  89  61  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....94
AVIATION...44