Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
285 FXUS64 KMAF 241858 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 158 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 156 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024 A few weak showers and storms have popped across the Davis Mountains and Stockton Plateau as a quickly diffusing boundary has aided in their development. Activity will taper off tonight as temperatures cool down. The main story will be a weak front pushing into the Permian Basin and southeast New Mexico late tonight. While not a potent front, a few showers may be seen along the eastern zones as it moves through tonight. Otherwise, winds shift to the north and northeast with low clouds briefly making an appearance. Behind the front, drier and slightly cooler air take hold with highs topping out in the 80s for most with 90s seen in the Rio Grande Valley. Mainly clear skies hold on and with light winds expected Wednesday night, lows fall into the upper 50s to low 60s for most. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Monday) Issued at 156 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024 Increasing heights and thicknesses are indicated on both deterministic and ensemble models for this week into the weekend and next week. High temperatures a few degrees above average will rise up to 5-10 degrees above average late this week into next week, with high pressure in between low pressure over the eastern Pacific Ocean and the western Atlantic Ocean resulting in clear, dry conditions and allowing diurnal heating. At the same time, southerly return flow aloft will be limited in this setup, so high temperatures will not rise too far above average, mainly in the 80s and 90s for most of the area. Low temperatures will stay above average, but with high temperatures mostly staying below the triple digits, low temperatures will fall into the 50s and 60s each night Thursday night through next Tuesday night. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024 VFR remains at all terminals through this afternoon. Winds continue to be light from the east to southeast. Low (10%) chance for SHRA near FST this afternoon, but not included in TAF issuance due to low confidence. Amendments possible. Front moves through from the north late tonight shifting winds to the north and northeast. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 65 83 58 84 / 10 0 0 0 Carlsbad 62 86 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 68 91 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 65 88 59 87 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 61 79 59 83 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 60 84 56 86 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 59 83 53 84 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 65 84 59 85 / 10 0 0 0 Odessa 66 84 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 67 89 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...93 LONG TERM....94 AVIATION...93