Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
413 FXUS64 KMAF 261556 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1056 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 233 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 High clouds streaming across the region left over from evening storms have kept temperatures from falling too much. Most locations outside of the mountains are still in the 80s. Today looks very similar to Tuesday as the upper ridge maintains itself centered just to our west. Highs will climb back into the 100s for most with the hottest temperatures once again along the Rio Grande (near 110). Showers and storms are possible once again across SE NM south to the Davis Mountains. While widespread severe weather is unlikely, a dry subcloud layer will create gusty winds with any storm. The Permian Basin will likely remain dry. Ridging expands over the region Thursday so look for a continuation of the hot temperatures with storms remaining over the higher terrain and SE NM. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 233 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Very little changes Friday other than temperatures climbing a bit higher. We could need some heat products for a few areas. Storm chances remain out west, but this changes heading into the weekend. By Saturday, the upper ridge will weaken and shift east while it gets squeezed by a trough in the Northern Plains and another moving across S TX. While we will continue to see scattered storms out west in the higher terrain, a weak front will fire convection to our north in the TX PH. These storms along with their outflow could move south into northern portions of the Permian Basin late in the day. This is where rain chances will be highest. With added low level moisture, highs will decrease a few degrees and back into the upper 90s to near 100. Drier conditions are expected Sunday, but temperatures will remain closer to normal. Ridging builds back across the area next week with temperatures rising once again and isolated storms confined to the higher terrain. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1052 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in return flow, gusty at times. Forecast soundings develop a widespread cu field this afternoon, w/bases starting 4.5-5 kft AGL, and at the end of the forecast period, w/bases 4.5-6 kft AGL. Convection will be possible this afternoon/evening KCNM/KHOB/KPEQ, but chances are too low to warrant a mention attm. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 78 104 77 103 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 77 101 77 104 / 30 20 10 20 Dryden 76 100 75 100 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 75 101 76 104 / 0 0 0 10 Guadalupe Pass 72 93 73 95 / 50 30 20 30 Hobbs 74 99 74 103 / 20 10 0 0 Marfa 65 96 65 98 / 30 20 10 30 Midland Intl Airport 76 101 76 101 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 77 101 76 102 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 77 104 77 106 / 10 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...29 LONG TERM....29 AVIATION...44