Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
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970 FXUS64 KMAF 050523 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1223 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 127 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024 Many places are well into the 90s and low 100s this afternoon and will "only" cool down into the low to mid 70s tonight. A small bit of relief is on the way for the Permian Basin across to near the Pecos River Valley as a weak front moves through the area tonight. Northeasterly flow behind the front will knock temperatures down a couple to a few degrees. However, the Rio Grande Valley will still reach well into the 100s and another heat advisory will likely be needed across the Big Bend. The weakness of the ridge may allow for a shower or two to develop over the higher terrain to the west, but amounts will be low overall. Lows remain a few degrees above normal heading into Wednesday night. -Stickney && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Monday) Issued at 127 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024 Mid and upper ridging will be in full control of our overall weather late this week. This will keep temperatures hot with most locations in the 100s each afternoon through Saturday. It is likely more heat products will be needed for areas south and west of the Pecos River. While slightly cooler (mid 90s) in higher terrain, temperatures are still well above normal. Even with the heat, moisture levels will be on the increase late week and upslope flow will allow for scattered showers and storms in the mountains and adjacent plains. QPF looks light and lightning could allow for new fire starts given the very dry fuels in this area. Models indicate the upper ridge possibly breaking down early next week and NW flow developing aloft across the area. While confidence is low right now we could be looking at cooler temperatures and more widespread rain chances sometime next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1221 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 VFR conditions continue. A cold front is bringing a northerly wind shift to area terminals. This front is expected to clear most terminals within the next few hours and the remainder later this morning. Winds will gradually become more easterly later this afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 70 102 73 102 / 0 10 0 0 Carlsbad 71 103 74 102 / 10 10 10 20 Dryden 75 102 76 101 / 0 10 10 10 Fort Stockton 74 102 75 102 / 0 20 10 10 Guadalupe Pass 71 95 73 93 / 10 20 20 30 Hobbs 66 101 71 99 / 10 10 10 10 Marfa 61 96 62 96 / 10 40 20 30 Midland Intl Airport 71 101 74 100 / 0 10 0 0 Odessa 72 102 75 101 / 0 10 0 10 Wink 73 105 76 104 / 0 10 0 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...93 LONG TERM....29 AVIATION...91