Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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043 ACUS11 KWNS 260836 SWOMCD SPC MCD 260835 ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-261000- Mesoscale Discussion 1423 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0335 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Areas affected...East-Central/Southeast KS...Far Northeast OK...Southwest MO...Far Northwest AR Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 461...462... Valid 260835Z - 261000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 461, 462 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging gusts remain possible across east-central KS and west-central MO. Additional severe potential may extend south into portions of southeast KS, far southwest MO, far northeast OK, and far northwest AR, and trends are being monitored for a possible watch. DISCUSSION...Complex convective evolution is underway across eastern KS as a southeastward-progressing convective line begins to interact with a more southward-progressing line ahead of it. This southward-progressing line is also interacting with more cellular, warm-air advection thunderstorms that extend from east-central KS into far northeast OK. The quickest forward motion exists with the southeastward-progressing line over northeast KS, and the general expectation is for this line to remain dominant as it continues southeastward, with perhaps a shift to a more southerly motion once it encounters the warm-air advection responsible for the east-central/southeast KS cellular development. However, strong updrafts exist in the Kansas City vicinity (along the western edge of the southward-progressing line), and there is some potential this portion begins to surge southward as it interacts with the warm-air advection to its south. In either case, portions of southeast KS, far southwest MO, far northeast OK, and far northwest AR may eventually be impacted by whatever evolves. As a result, convective trends are being monitored for a potential watch. Until this line arrives, isolated hail is possible within the more cellular storms across the region. ..Mosier/Edwards.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT... LAT...LON 38829645 38839473 35949299 35489593 37439662 38829645