Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 212146
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212145
MAZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-212315-
Mesoscale Discussion 1362
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0445 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Areas affected...Connecticut...Massachusetts...Rhode Island
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 444...
Valid 212145Z - 212315Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 444
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 444. Damaging gusts are the main threat, though an instance or
two of hail cannot be ruled out.
DISCUSSION...A loosely organized MCS, with a history of at least a
few damaging gusts, persists across portions of New England. An
instance of 1 inch diameter hail was also recently reported.
Mesoanalysis trends depict low-level (0-3 km) lapse rates decreasing
with eastward extent, and from 8 to 6 C/km overall over the past
couple of hours. As such, the severe threat may have already peaked
in intensity. Nonetheless, a cold pool appears to be driving ongoing
convection, suggesting that at least a couple more damaging gusts
and perhaps an instance of hail remain possible over the next few
hours.
..Squitieri.. 06/21/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...
LAT...LON 41387264 42367219 42647160 42517093 42127079 41637097
41357129 41317230 41387264