277
FNUS76 KMFR 170323
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for 2024 Morgan Point RX...Mid Klamath Watershed Council
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
823 PM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 PDT on June 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The region on Monday will be under the influence of
a large scale trough over the PNW/NorCal. This should lead to
winds generally following the general wind pattern at this burn
site during day. Inversions are expected to form each night.
This burn site is expected to be below the inversion Monday
night and this will allow for the winds to follow diurnal
patterns below it. As high pressure builds in Tuesday morning
through the remainder of the week, the inversion may lower with
time. That said, humidities are expected to recover fully each
night at least through Wednesday night. The forecasted RH is
generally expected to rise above 20% around 7 PM each day, and
remain there overnight until about 9 AM. There is no afternoon
where the best- guess forecast has a relative humidity above 20%
at its lowest. Monday is the only day where there is not a single
digit probability that the humidity doesn`t drop below 20% in the
afternoon.


**Thanks for the awesome remarks section. Super helpful and a
 example for what spot requests should for remarks. Keep up the
 stellar work**

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........18 percent. Chance for RH above 20% is around 35%.
Eye level winds.....Northeast 1 to 3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 5 to 7 mph, possibly becoming northwest
later in the evening as the upvalley flow forms.
Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 14 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....North 3 mph in the evening becoming light down
slope/down valley.
Wind (20 ft)........North 6 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    2-4 mph down slope/down valley.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........14 percent. Chance for RH above 20% is around 5%.
Eye level winds.....Calm in the morning becoming up-slope, then
up-valley throughout the day at 1-3 mph, increasing
to 1-4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Calm in the morning becoming up-slope, then
up-valley throughout the day at 2-5 mph, increasing
to 3-7 mph.
Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...MILES
Requested by...Eric Darragh
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416267.0/MFR
.DELDT 06/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ericdarragh@mkwc.org