830
FNUS76 KMFR 222027
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Upper Applegate 3900...ODF Medford
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
127 PM PDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 PDT on June 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A very similar forecast is slated for today as
compared to yesterday with the addition of slightly stronger wind
speeds and slightly lower RH values. Taking a look at
observations around the wildfire, wind speeds are starting to pick
up similar to yesterday and will continue through early this
evening (~8:30 PM). Speeds may be about 1-3 mph stronger today
than yesterday. RH will also be lower, bottoming out around the
low 20% range. A front will come through today (not expecting a
notable wind shift), and only slightly cooler temperatures are
expected. RH recovery tonight should be around 80-85%. For
tomorrow, there is some uncertainty on the timing of the inversion
breaking, with some data suggesting poor mixing even early in the
afternoon. We will continue to evaluate this for tomorrow
afternoon, but wanted to mention this small chance for planning
purposes.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Haze early in the
                    afternoon. Areas of smoke through the day.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Haze and areas of smoke
                    early in the evening. Haze after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 3 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest up to 3 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...GUERRERO
Requested by...Mariah Collins
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416527.0/MFR
.DELDT 06/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dispatch.medford1@odf.oregon.gov