848
FACA20 KKCI 242130
OFAMKC
INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS BRANCH
AVIATION WEATHER CENTER KANSAS CITY MISSOURI
VALID 242200-251000
OUTLOOK...251000-252200
.
ATLANTIC S OF 32N W OF 57W...CARIBBEAN...GULF OF MEXICO BTN 22N
AND 24N.
.
ALL WNDS SFC. TS IMPLY SEV OR GTR TURB SEV ICE LLWS AND IFR
CONDS. SFC TO 400MB.
.
SYNOPSIS...SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST FOR TC HELENE...
AT 24/21Z...A STNRY FNT WAS LCTD FM 26N59W TO 24N66W TO 27N77W
WITH ENHD SHRA/TSRA ALG THIS FEATURE. A SFC TROF TO THE N WL MOV
S GENERALLY E OF 70W BTWN 30N AT THE BEGINING OF PD AND 28N BY
END OF OTLK PD. DEEP MOISTURE HAS MOVD INTO THE WRN PIARCO FIR
ALLOWING FOR WDLY SCT TO SCT SHRA/TSRA WHICH WL CONT THRU THE PD.
IN THE SWRN CARIB TC HELENE HAS DVLPD AND IS LOCD NR 19.4N 84.4W
WITH CURRENT SUSTAINED WNDS 45KT WITH GUSTS TO 55KT AND IS MOVG
WNW AT 10KT. BY 25/06Z TOMORROW TC HELENE WL BE NR 20.4N 86.0W
WITH WNDS OF 55KTG65KT. THEN BY 25/18Z TC HELENE WL BE NR 21.7N
86.6W WITH WNDS OF 65KTG80KT. TC HELENE WL BRING MVFR WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD IFR CONDS AS THE STORM RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES THRU
TOMORROW. NMRS SHWRS AND SCT TSTMS WITH TROPICAL FORCE WNDS IN
THE NWRN CARIB FIRS WI THIS SYSTEM ARE XPCD WITH HURRICANE FORCE
WNDS XPCD BY 12Z TOMORROW MORNING. THIS STORM IS XPCD TO CONT TO
TRACK NWD INTO THE SE GLFMEX BY THURS AFTN.
.
SIGNIFICANT CLD/WX...
ERN MONTERREY FIR
SCT020 SCT050. ISOL SHRA/TSRA. OTLK...VFR SHRA TSRA.
.
ATLC SWRN NEW YORK FIR...ATLC MIAMI FIR...SAN JUAN FIR
S STNRY FNT...SCT020 OCNL BKN020 TOP FL180. ISOL SHRA/TSRA.
  OCNL WDLY SCT SHRA. OTLK...VFR SHRA TSRA.
INVOF SFC TROF...SCT020 OCNL BKN020 TOP FL240. ISOL SHRA/TSRA.
  OCNL WDLY SCT SHRA. OTLK...VFR SHRA TSRA.
RMNDR...SCT020. ISOL SHRA/TSRA. OTLK...VFR ISOL SHRA/TSRA.
.
WRN PIARCO FIR
SCT025 BKN050. OCNL BKN025 LYRD TOPS ABV FL240. WDLY SCT SHRA.
 ISOL TO SCT TSRA. OTLK...VFR OCNL MVFR CIG TSRA SHRA.
.
NRN MAIQUETIA FIR...CURACAO FIR
SCT020 SCT050. OCNL BKN050 LYRD TOPS ABV FL240. ISOL SHRA/TSRA.
  OCNL WND E 20KT. OTLK...VFR SHRA TSRA WND.
.
SANTO DOMINGO FIR...PORT-AU-PRINCE FIR
HISPANIOLA... SCT020 SCT050. OCNL BKN050 LYRD TOPS ABV FL240.
  WDLY SCT SHRA/ISOL TSRA. 02Z SCT020. ISOL SHRA.
  OTLK...VFR SHRA TSRA AFT 17Z.
WTRS...SCT020 SCT050. ISOL SHRA/TSRA TIL 02Z. OTLK...VFR SHRA.
.
NRN PANAMA FIR
SCT015 BKN025 OVC050. OCNL BKN015 TOPS ABV FL240. SCT SHRA/TSRA.
  WND E-S 20-25KT W 79W. OTLK...VFR OCNL MVFR CIG SHRA TSRA...WND
  W 79W.
.
NRN BARRANQUILLA FIR
SCT025 SCT050. OCNL BKN050 LYRD TOPS ABV FL240. ISOL SHRA/TSRA.
  WND SE 20KT AFT 08Z. OTLK...VFR SHRA WND.
.
KINGSTON FIR...HABANA FIR...NERN CNTRL AMER FIR...NRN MERIDA FIR
...SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY FOR TC HELENE...
WI 210SM OF HELENE CNTR...BKN010 OVC020. OCNL CIG BLW 010. TOPS
  ABV FL240. VIS 3-5SM RA BR. OCNL VIS 1-3SM RA. NMRS SHRA/TSRA.
  WND NE-S 30-50G60KT BY 12Z. HIGHEST WNDS WI 20SM NE OF CNTR.
  OTLK...IFR CIG VIS RA SHRA TSRA WND.
W 78W/E 91W OUTSIDE OF TRACK FOR HELENE...SCT020 OCNL BKN020
  CLOSER TO HELENE TRACK. TOPS ABV FL240. SCT-NMRS SHRA/TSRA.
  WND NE-S 20-35G40KT. OCNL VIS 3-5SM RA. OTLK...MVFR CIG SHRA
  TSRA WND.
RMNDR...SCT025 OCNL BKN025 TOP ABV FL240. ISOL TO WDLY SCT
  SHRA/TSRA. OTLK...VFR OCNL MVFR CIG SHRA TSRA.
.
ICE AND FRZLVL...
NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE CNVTV ACT.
FRZLVL...
  ATLC...170 N TO 160 S.
  CARIB...160 SE TO 170 NW.
  GLFMEX...160 NW TO 170 SE.
.
TURB...
NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE CNVTV ACT.
....