Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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908 FXUS62 KMLB 220439 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1239 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 1239 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 VFR will prevail except in the vicinity of showers (brief MVFR CIGs or IFR VIS restrictions). Roughly 30% chance of showers through the TAF period at coastal terminals. For MCO, VCSH warranted on Sunday afternoon though the chance is still 30% or less for rain at the terminal. TS looks unlikely. NE winds 5-12 KT. Gusts to 15-19 KT at coastal terminals after 15Z. && .UPDATE... Issued at 902 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 High pressure situated north of the area will continue to produce a low level NE flow across the area. This will continue to transport isolated showers and possibly a few storms onshore along the coast through tonight into early morning Saturday, and have maintained 20 percent rain chances along and east of the I-95 corridor. Otherwise, interior locations will largely remain dry overnight. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear, with lows in the low to mid 70s. Not much guidance support at this time for patchy fog to develop late tonight, but with lighter winds there still may be some ground fog that develops in spots. && .MARINE... Issued at 204 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Tonight thru mid next week...High pressure to the north will continue to provide for a light to moderate NNE/NE flow that will veer more ENE- E Sun overnight into early-mid next week. Speeds commonly 8-15 kts. Seas near shore 3-4 ft building to 4-5 ft over the Gulf Stream/offshore into next week. ISOLD to WDLY SCT (10-30pct) showers and lightning storms remain in the forecast. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 88 74 89 74 / 20 0 10 0 MCO 91 74 91 74 / 30 0 10 0 MLB 89 76 88 77 / 20 20 20 10 VRB 89 75 89 76 / 20 20 20 10 LEE 91 73 92 74 / 20 0 10 0 SFB 89 73 90 74 / 30 0 10 0 ORL 91 75 92 74 / 30 0 10 0 FPR 89 74 89 75 / 30 20 30 10 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for FLZ141- 154-159-164-347-447-647-747. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Weitlich AVIATION...Heil