881
FXUS62 KMLB 190555
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
155 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 143 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

East winds will persist tonight with inland terminals 10-15 KT,
and 15-20 KT with gusts around 25 KT at the coastal terminals.
Quickly moving SHRA will continue to push onshore and inland
through tonight, so have maintained VCSH for all terminals through
the overnight. Easterly winds will persist on Wednesday, with
speeds 15-20 KT and gusts 25-30 KT. Scattered SHRA will continue
to push onshore, so have maintained VCSH for all terminals through
Wednesday, with LEE-MCO-ISM ending VCSH around 02/03Z Thursday
morning. Most models keep CIGs VFR through the TAF period, but
occasional MVFR CIGs will still be possible in passing SHRA.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 840 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

The East winds will decrease some over the interior this evening
and overnight but remain breezy/gusty along the coast with
isolated to scattered showers pushing onshore and well inland.
No lightning has occurred over land or the adjacent coastal waters
but a couple strikes have been noted well offshore (beyond 60nm)
so will keep the slight chance for thunder over the marine zones
as well as coastal counties overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 400 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Tonight...Hazardous boating conditions will continue as easterly
winds 20-25 kt and occasional gusts of 30-35 kt. A Small Craft
Advisory remains in effect for all of the adjacent waters through
at least Thursday evening. Seas will continue to build, reaching
7-8 ft offshore north of Sebastian Inlet tonight and 6-7 ft
nearshore. A stream of isolated to scattered showers is also
forecast, with a very low probability of lightning strikes. Some
of these showers could mix down locally higher wind gusts at
times.

Wednesday-Saturday (modified previous)...Poor to hazardous
boating conditions will continue through late week as a weak
trough approaches the Florida peninsula and southeast U.S. coast.
Onshore flow will persist with winds generally 15-20 KT in the
nearshore waters and 20-25 KT in the offshore waters through
Thursday. Winds will decrease to around 10-15 KT by late week and
into the weekend. Seas 6-8ft on Wednesday will increase to 7-9 ft
on Thursday, before beginning to subside on Friday with seas
decreasing to 4-6ft. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for
all the Atlantic waters on Wednesday, and has been extended in
time through at least Thursday evening. Scattered to numerous
showers and isolated lightning storms will be possible each day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  87  76  87  76 /  40  60  50  50
MCO  88  76  88  75 /  50  40  50  20
MLB  87  77  87  76 /  60  60  60  30
VRB  88  76  87  76 /  60  50  60  30
LEE  90  76  91  76 /  40  30  40  20
SFB  88  75  88  75 /  50  40  50  30
ORL  88  76  88  76 /  50  40  50  30
FPR  87  76  87  75 /  60  50  60  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for AMZ550-552-555-
     570-572-575.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Kelly
AVIATION...Watson