809
FXUS62 KMLB 220108
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
908 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 902 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

High pressure situated north of the area will continue to produce
a low level NE flow across the area. This will continue to
transport isolated showers and possibly a few storms onshore along
the coast through tonight into early morning Saturday, and have
maintained 20 percent rain chances along and east of the I-95
corridor. Otherwise, interior locations will largely remain dry
overnight. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear, with lows
in the low to mid 70s. Not much guidance support at this time for
patchy fog to develop late tonight, but with lighter winds there
still may be some ground fog that develops in spots.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 753 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

Low level onshore flow will persist across the area, which will
continue to transport isolated showers and potentially a few
storms onshore along the coast tonight and into the early morning
hours on Sunday. This activity will then develop farther inland
along the inland moving east coast sea breeze into the late
morning and afternoon on Sunday, with coverage remaining spotty.
For now have limited mention in the TAFs to VCSH, as ridge and
warmer temps building in aloft should tend to limit overall storm
development tomorrow. However, can`t rule out some isolated
lightning storm activity. Any showers or isolated storms will
produce tempo IFR/MVFR conditions.

Winds will become light and variable into tonight, and then pick
up out of the NE around 7-12 knots, with gusts up to 15-18 knots
at times.


&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 204 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

Tonight thru mid next week...High pressure to the north will
continue to provide for a light to moderate NNE/NE flow that will
veer more ENE- E Sun overnight into early-mid next week. Speeds
commonly 8-15 kts. Seas near shore 3-4 ft building to 4-5 ft over
the Gulf Stream/offshore into next week. ISOLD to WDLY SCT
(10-30pct) showers and lightning storms remain in the forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  74  88  74  89 /  20  20   0  10
MCO  73  91  74  91 /  10  30  10  20
MLB  75  89  76  88 /  20  20  20  20
VRB  73  89  75  89 /  20  20  30  30
LEE  73  91  73  92 /  10  20   0  10
SFB  73  89  73  90 /  10  30   0  10
ORL  74  91  75  92 /  10  30   0  10
FPR  73  89  74  89 /  20  20  30  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT Sunday for FLZ141-154-159-
     164-347-447-647-747.

AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Weitlich
AVIATION...Weitlich