945
FNUS72 KMLB 312041
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Horseshoe WF...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
441 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 EDT on May 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Breezy northeast winds this evening will diminish to around 5 mph
tonight. On Saturday, no rain is forecast. Winds become easterly
10-15 mph with gusts 15-25 mph. Minimum RH falls to 35-40% again
on Saturday afternoon after a morning recovery to around 80-85%.
The increase in wind speeds are producing Very Good to Excellent
dispersion values and combined with dry fuels will produce very
sensitive fire weather conditions through Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 13 mph.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 16 mph.
Dispersion index....71.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10
LAL.............1
Temp............87
RH..............42
20 FT wind dir..NE
20 FT wind spd..13
20 FT wind gust.21
Mix hgt (kft)...5.8
Transp wind dir.E
Transp wind spd.16
Dispersion idx..71
LVORI...........1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 13 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 20 mph decreasing to 9 to 12 mph
                    overnight.
Dispersion index....75 decreasing to 8 early in the evening.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 4 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........16     6      3      8      17     18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............86     80     76     73     71     70
RH..............44     54     62     68     73     78
20 ft wind......NE 13  E 9    E 6    E 5    E 5    E 3
20 ft wind gust.21     20     15     12     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....5000   2700   600    400    400    400
Transport wind..NE 18  E 18   E 13   E 10   E 10   E 10
Dispersion idx..75     12     6      5      5      5
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      3      4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 28 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 76 late in the morning increasing
                    to 91 late in the morning decreasing to 73
                    decreasing to 66 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4 decreasing to 1 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........24     16     26     26     43     26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............68     73     81     84     85     87
RH..............84     71     52     45     43     40
20 ft wind......E 5    E 7    E 9    E 12   E 12   E 12
20 ft wind gust.12     14     20     22     23     23
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1500   5000   5700   6300   6100
Transport wind..E 12   E 14   E 16   E 15   E 14   E 15
Dispersion idx..5      28     91     77     69     69
LVORI...........4      3      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Heil
Requested by...Brad Weller
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415429.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/31/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Bradley.weller@fdacs.gov