Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
410 FNUS72 KMLB 270931 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for Savannas SP 21...Florida Park Service National Weather Service Melbourne FL 531 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 27. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Winds forecast to start out of the southwest across the burn site today, around 5 to 10 mph. However, the east coast sea breeze is expected to form and should be able to reach the burn site toward or just after 3 PM, with winds becoming southeast around 10 mph. Additionally, scattered showers and storms are forecast into the afternoon, which may produce gusty and variable winds as they move east to northeast across the region and offshore. No minimum RH concerns forecast, with Generally Good dispersion values expected. Hot and humid conditions forecast to continue today, with a high in the low 90s this afternoon and peak heat index values around 102-104. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, then showers and thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 9-15 strikes until 1700, then 16-25 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 92. Min humidity........61 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon, then shifting to the south to southeast around 8 to 10 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 13 mph. Dispersion index....8 increasing to 40 in the late morning, then increasing to 49 in the afternoon, decreasing to 35 late in the afternoon. LVORI...............5 decreasing to 2. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........27 31 35 39 41 43 44 49 53 58 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC LKY Weather type.... RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC LKY Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 30 40 50 60 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 4 Temp............79 81 86 88 88 89 90 90 89 90 RH..............91 83 73 69 65 63 62 62 64 61 20 FT wind dir..SW SW W W SW SW SSW S SE SE 20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 10 10 20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 12 12 13 14 14 15 15 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.8 3.0 3.5 3.9 3.4 3.5 3.9 3.3 2.3 Transp wind dir.SW SW W SW W SW W W SW SW Transp wind spd.9 10 10 10 12 12 13 13 12 13 Dispersion idx..8 22 38 40 44 44 48 49 39 35 LVORI...........5 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely through sunset, then chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the evening. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................16-25 strikes until 2000, then 9-15 strikes until 2100, then 1-8 strikes until 2200, then No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 75. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 13 mph. Dispersion index....19 decreasing to 6 early in the evening. LVORI...............4 increasing to 6 overnight. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........57 56 56 49 33 32 Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).60 30 10 10 0 0 LAL.............4 3 1 1 1 1 Temp............88 86 81 79 78 77 RH..............65 71 82 88 91 90 20 ft wind......SSE 9 S 5 S 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 20 ft wind gust.13 10 9 10 9 8 Mix hgt (ft)....1700 800 600 400 400 400 Transport wind..SW 12 SW 12 SW 10 SW 9 S 9 SW 8 Dispersion idx..23 8 7 6 4 4 LVORI...........3 3 4 5 6 6 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 92. Min humidity........66 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph early in the afternoon, then shifting to the southeast 6 to 8 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 3100 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 12 to 13 mph late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....6 increasing to 27. LVORI...............8 decreasing to 3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........33 32 37 38 Weather cov..... CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR Tstm cov........ CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 50 LAL.............1 1 1 3 Temp............76 82 88 90 RH..............97 82 69 66 20 FT wind......SW 2G8 SW 1G7 S 5G9 SE 7G13 Mix hgt (ft)....400 1700 3000 2400 Transport wind..SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 S 9 Dispersion idx..3 13 26 28 LVORI...........7 4 3 2 $$ Forecaster...Weitlich Requested by...Miranda Cunningham Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2416754.0/MLB .DELDT 06/27/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL miranda.cunningham@floridadep.gov