Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
410
FNUS72 KMLB 270931
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for Savannas SP 21...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
531 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Winds forecast to start out of the southwest across the burn site
today, around 5 to 10 mph. However, the east coast sea breeze is
expected to form and should be able to reach the burn site toward
or just after 3 PM, with winds becoming southeast around 10 mph.
Additionally, scattered showers and storms are forecast into the
afternoon, which may produce gusty and variable winds as they move
east to northeast across the region and offshore. No minimum
RH concerns forecast, with Generally Good dispersion values
expected.
Hot and humid conditions forecast to continue today, with a high
in the low 90s this afternoon and peak heat index values around
102-104.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon, then
showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 9-15 strikes until
1700, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in
the late morning and afternoon, then shifting
to the south to southeast around 8 to 10 mph
late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL in the
late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 40 in the late morning, then
increasing to 49 in the afternoon, decreasing
to 35 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 2.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27 31 35 39 41 43 44 49 53 58
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 30 40 50 60
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 4
Temp............79 81 86 88 88 89 90 90 89 90
RH..............91 83 73 69 65 63 62 62 64 61
20 FT wind dir..SW SW W W SW SW SSW S SE SE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 10 10
20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 12 12 13 14 14 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.8 3.0 3.5 3.9 3.4 3.5 3.9 3.3 2.3
Transp wind dir.SW SW W SW W SW W W SW SW
Transp wind spd.9 10 10 10 12 12 13 13 12 13
Dispersion idx..8 22 38 40 44 44 48 49 39 35
LVORI...........5 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely through sunset, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
the evening. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 2000, then 9-15 strikes
until 2100, then 1-8 strikes until 2200, then
No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....19 decreasing to 6 early in the evening.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 6 overnight.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........57 56 56 49 33 32
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).60 30 10 10 0 0
LAL.............4 3 1 1 1 1
Temp............88 86 81 79 78 77
RH..............65 71 82 88 91 90
20 ft wind......SSE 9 S 5 S 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2
20 ft wind gust.13 10 9 10 9 8
Mix hgt (ft)....1700 800 600 400 400 400
Transport wind..SW 12 SW 12 SW 10 SW 9 S 9 SW 8
Dispersion idx..23 8 7 6 4 4
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 6 6
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph early
in the afternoon, then shifting to the
southeast 6 to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 3100 ft AGL in the
late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast
12 to 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 27.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 3.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........33 32 37 38
Weather cov..... CHANCE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 50
LAL.............1 1 1 3
Temp............76 82 88 90
RH..............97 82 69 66
20 FT wind......SW 2G8 SW 1G7 S 5G9 SE 7G13
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1700 3000 2400
Transport wind..SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 S 9
Dispersion idx..3 13 26 28
LVORI...........7 4 3 2
$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...Miranda Cunningham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416754.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL miranda.cunningham@floridadep.gov