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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
214 FNUS72 KMLB 270903 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for SFWMD - Gardner...South Florida Water Management District National Weather Service Melbourne FL 503 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on June 27. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... With the lack of a sea breeze today, southwest winds will persist over the burn site, 5-12 mph. There is a 20% chance of showers through late morning, then a 50% chance for lightning storms from around 2PM until early evening. Erratic, gusty winds up to 40 mph will occur in the vicinity of storms. Dispersion will be very good today. Heat precautions should be taken as heat index readings will likely peak around 101-104 degrees this afternoon. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1200, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 90. Min humidity........61 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 14 mph. Dispersion index....56 increasing to 64 late in the afternoon, then decreasing to 47 late in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........45 47 50 52 54 55 57 Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).20 30 40 50 50 50 50 LAL.............2 3 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............85 86 86 88 88 88 89 RH..............75 72 70 64 64 62 61 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..7 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT wind gust.13 15 16 16 16 16 15 Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 3.8 3.7 4.0 4.6 3.6 3.1 Transp wind dir.W SW SW W SW W W Transp wind spd.13 13 13 14 13 14 13 Dispersion idx..54 57 58 68 68 60 47 LVORI...........2 2 2 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 75. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph. Dispersion index....35 decreasing to 6. LVORI...............1 increasing to 7. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........54 49 43 37 31 33 Weather cov.....CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).50 10 0 0 0 0 LAL.............3 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............88 86 82 79 79 78 RH..............63 68 79 88 88 91 20 ft wind......SW 8 SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 S 5 20 ft wind gust.15 12 9 8 7 7 Mix hgt (ft)....2000 700 500 500 500 500 Transport wind..SW 14 SW 12 SW 10 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 Dispersion idx..35 8 7 4 4 4 LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 7 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 1-8 strikes until 1400, then 16-25 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 91. Min humidity........64 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the late morning and early afternoon, then increasing to 5300 ft AGL late in the afternoon decreasing to 2400 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 10 mph shifting to the west around 10 mph late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....4 increasing to 18 early in the morning, then increasing to 32 late in the morning increasing to 46 late in the morning increasing to 60 decreasing to 52 late in the afternoon decreasing to 40 decreasing to 27 late in the afternoon. LVORI...............9 decreasing to 2. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........31 27 38 51 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC LIKELY Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC LIKELY Chc of pcpn (%).0 20 20 60 LAL.............1 2 2 4 Temp............77 80 86 89 RH..............97 91 71 64 20 FT wind......S 5G6 SW 3G7 SW 5G10 SW 6G12 Mix hgt (ft)....400 2000 4100 4300 Transport wind..SW 8 SW 9 SW 9 W 10 Dispersion idx..4 22 49 52 LVORI...........8 4 2 1 $$ Forecaster...Heil Requested by...James Blush Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2416756.0/MLB .DELDT 06/27/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jblush@sfwmd.gov