Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
460
FNUS74 KMOB 210412
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Escribano Point WMA...Florida Fish and Wildlfife
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1112 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 CDT on June 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected over the burn site
through Friday, then a chance for rain follows for Saturday.
Afternoon relative humidity values will be well above critical
levels. Transport winds will be mostly easterly on Friday then
on Saturday switch from northerly to southerly. Dispersion
values will be good on Friday and fair on Saturday.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1463 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 26 early in the morning, then
increasing to 42 late in the morning increasing
to 55 late in the morning increasing to 67
decreasing to 54 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6 3 3 3 6 6 5 14 24 32 31 28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............76 75 77 80 83 85 87 88 88 88 89 88
RH..............82 82 79 72 65 59 53 52 54 55 56 55
20 FT wind dir..ENE ENE ENE E ENE ENE ENE ENE E SE SSE SE
20 FT wind spd..8 9 10 10 10 9 10 10 9 9 8 8
20 FT wind gust.12 12 14 15 15 16 15 15 14 13 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.4 4.2 4.7 4.8 4.6 4.3 3.9 3.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2
Transp wind dir.E E E E ENE ENE E ENE E E E E
Transp wind spd.12 12 14 14 15 15 14 13 12 10 9 8
Trans wind dir..E E E E ENE ENE E ENE E E E E
Trans spd (m/s).5 5 6 6 7 7 6 6 5 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..10 21 30 42 55 65 67 67 62 56 52 52
LVORI...........4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
southwest 5 to 7 mph early in the evening, then
shifting to the north around 5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1189 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 9 mph shifting to the southwest 6
to 8 mph in the evening and overnight, then
shifting to the west around 7 mph overnight
shifting to the north 6 to 7 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.East around 4 meters/second shifting to the
southwest 3 to 4 meters/second in the evening
and overnight, then shifting to the west around
3 meters/second overnight shifting to the north
after 3 am.
Dispersion index....52 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........25 13 9 9 12 10 9 6 6 7 7 6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............88 87 84 84 83 81 80 79 78 78 77 76
RH..............55 59 65 65 67 72 74 77 79 79 82 85
20 FT wind dir..SSE S SW WSW WSW W NW NNW N N NNE NNE
20 FT wind spd..8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Transp wind dir.E S S SW WSW WSW WSW WSW W NNW N N
Transp wind spd.9 8 7 8 7 6 7 6 7 7 6 6
Trans wind dir..E S S SW WSW WSW WSW WSW W NNW N N
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Dispersion idx..52 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
south 10 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1067 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 8 mph shifting to the south 10 to 14
mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.North around 4 meters/second shifting to the
south 4 to 6 meters/second in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 35.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
Sky (%).........6 11 15
Weather cov..... CHANCE
Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 30
LAL.............1 1 3
Temp............75 85 88
RH..............87 70 68
20 FT wind dir..NNE E S
20 FT wind spd..7 8 12
20 FT wind gust. 14
Mix hgt (ft)....500 3200 3400
Mix hgt (m).....150 980 1040
Transp wind dir.N E S
Transp wind spd.8 8 13
Trans wind dir..N E S
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 6
Dispersion idx..4 25 35
LVORI...........5 2 2
$$
Forecaster...29
Requested by...Kim Chase
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416456.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kimberly.chase@myfwc.com