Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
277
FNUS74 KMOB 201126
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Panther Creek WF...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
626 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 CDT on June 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and storms are possible over the
burn site this afternoon with only isolated showers and storms
in the forecast for Friday. Afternoon relative humidity values
remain above critical thresholds through Friday. Transport winds
will be easterly around 12 to 20 mph today and easterly around 10
to 15 mph on Friday. Dispersion index values will be good today
and generally good on Friday.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected at the burn
site tonight.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....62 increasing to 68 late in the morning, then
decreasing to 55 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 42 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
Sky (%).........14 20 45 45 53
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 50 50 50
LAL.............1 1 2 2 2
Temp............83 89 91 91 90
RH..............61 52 50 52 56
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..13 13 13 12 8
20 FT wind gust.18 18 17 14 12
Mix hgt (ft)....2900 4100 4300 3400 3000
Transp wind dir.E E E E E
Transp wind spd.20 17 17 15 12
Dispersion idx..57 70 65 51 42
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
clear (0-10 percent). Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming northeast 5 to 6
mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....42 decreasing to 8.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........54 47 31 18 9 3
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50 30 10 10 0 0
LAL.............2 2 1 1 1 1
Temp............87 83 80 78 76 74
RH..............61 70 77 76 76 79
20 FT wind dir..E E NNE NE ENE ENE
20 FT wind spd..7 3 3 5 6 7
20 FT wind gust.9 8 7 9 12 13
Mix hgt (ft)....3000 400 400 400 400 400
Transp wind dir.E E NE ENE E E
Transp wind spd.13 7 6 8 12 12
Dispersion idx..42 5 4 7 11 12
LVORI...........2 3 3 4 4 4
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 53.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........1 3 3 11 16 16
Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2
Temp............72 79 86 91 94 93
RH..............81 64 53 44 41 44
20 FT wind dir..ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE
20 FT wind spd..8 9 10 10 10 8
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 14 13 12
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1300 3200 4800 5600 6000
Transp wind dir.E E E ENE ENE ENE
Transp wind spd.10 15 14 14 14 12
Dispersion idx..11 28 47 55 54 48
LVORI...........4 3 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...14
Requested by...Tom Murrie
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416432.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.murrie@us.af.mil