Flash Flood Guidance
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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965 AWUS01 KWNH 040306 FFGMPD WIZ000-040603- Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0391 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1104 PM EDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Areas affected...Portions of South-Central to Southeast WI Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 040303Z - 040603Z SUMMARY...Areas of flash flooding will continue to be possible in the near-term across portions of south-central to southeast WI as a broken band of heavy showers and thunderstorms continues to persist and locally trains over the same area. DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery shows a broken, but persistent band of heavy showers and thunderstorms lingering over areas of south-central WI. A moist and relatively unstable 20 to 30 kt low-level jet continues to overrun a surface boundary draped across areas of far northern IL, and the isentropic ascent north of this front coupled with the instability and some weak right-entrance region upper jet dynamics will continue to favor at least some convection persisting over the next 2 to 3 hours. Rainfall rates with some of the ongoing activity continues to be on the order of 1 to 2 inches/hour, and there has been some backbuilding and localized cell-training promoting concerns for excessive rainfall totals. The 00Z HREF guidance suggests at least some small-scale additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches going through 06Z. Given some of the earlier rainfall and lower FFG values that are in place, the additional rains should continue to foster at least small-scale flash flooding concerns for a few more hours. Orrison ...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MKX... ATTN...RFC...NCRFC...NWC... LAT...LON 43618867 43538781 43278779 43128815 43058883 43058965 43179008 43319012 43518966