100
FXUS64 KOHX 141603
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1103 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1059 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Did you feel it? This morning`s frontal boundary ripped through here
pretty quick and changed...nothing. Southern KY saw a quick shower,
but as fast as they appeared on radar, they were gone. In its wake,
mostly clear skies continue across the mid-state and there was so
little affect from it, dew points are still in the 60s. That means
warm and humid will be the story again today. If we see any affect,
it could be a degree or two cooler tomorrow. That`s about it.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1059 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

High pressure aloft is still expected to make its presence felt by
Sunday. Afternoon highs should be the warmest of the week, with many
spots reaching into the upper 90s. Dew points will remain in the mid
to upper 60s, so expect Heat Index values to reach triple digits,
especially west of the Cumberland Plateau. If you have outdoor plans
on Sunday, have somewhere you can get into the shade and cool off.
I`m still thinking the ridge aloft should stymie any thunderstorm
chances on Sunday, which means Monday will be Middle TN`s best shot
at getting some rain in this forecast package. Unfortunately, it`s
still not a great shot. Will maintain a 20-30% chance, however, if
you get a storm on Monday afternoon, expect brief heavy rainfall,
lots of lightning and even the potential for some gusty winds.

By Tuesday, expect the start of another extended stretch of dry days
across the mid-state. Temperatures should remain very summerish,
with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s with nothing too extreme
on the horizon.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

There is some patchy fog this morning mainly in the vicinity of
KSRB, this will lift in the next hour or so. Then VFR condition
are expected through the TAF period. Winds will be light under 5
knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      95  71  93  69 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    91  68  91  66 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     87  65  87  63 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       94  70  95  68 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     88  67  88  67 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      87  65  86  63 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   93  69  93  68 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   94  70  94  68 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        92  69  93  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Unger
LONG TERM....Unger
AVIATION.....Mueller