Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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241 FXUS64 KOHX 181112 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 612 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 A hot, humid air mass has settled over Middle Tennessee, and our current weather pattern will continue throughout the 7-day forecast period. High pressure centered to our east is keeping a southerly flow over the region, hence the persistent heat and mugginess. A swath of gulf-moisture has been responsible for scattered convection along the Tennessee River during the past several hours. It appears that this moisture band will drift westward today and tonight, with lessening POPs across the mid state on Tuesday, and dry conditions for the bulk of the mid state from Wednesday onward. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday Night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 Rain and storm chances won`t return to Middle Tennessee until Sunday and into early next week as a surface boundary rides down a northwest flow aloft. It is also possible that we could see some tropical effects later next week coming up from the Gulf of Mexico, but this is a long way off. It`s rare to see tropical effects in Middle Tennessee this early in the season, so we won`t hype this up too much. Temperatures for the next 7 days will consistently top out in the mid to upper 90s across much of the region, and there is no relief from the heat forthcoming anytime soon. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 610 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 VFR conditions through the TAF period. SCT to BKN clouds 040-060 with BKN to OVC high level clouds. Isolated showers and t-storms possible along the KY/TN boarder between 18 and 00z. Light southerly winds under 8 knots. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 93 73 91 71 / 10 0 0 0 Clarksville 90 72 90 69 / 30 10 0 0 Crossville 86 65 85 64 / 10 0 0 0 Columbia 91 71 90 68 / 10 0 0 0 Cookeville 88 70 87 67 / 20 0 0 0 Jamestown 87 67 86 66 / 20 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 90 71 88 68 / 10 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 92 72 91 69 / 10 0 0 0 Waverly 90 72 89 69 / 20 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Rose LONG TERM....Rose AVIATION.....Mueller