Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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958 FXUS64 KOHX 170612 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 112 AM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 102 AM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024 Most of the area is clear tonight with the exception being along the plateau when some mid and high clouds are working in from the east. These clouds are associated with an upper low and associated surface low centered over the Carolinas. There are a few light showers noted on KMRX in East Tennessee. Some of those scattered light showers could impact the eastern counties today as the low takes a westward jog. For the remaining two thirds of the area, the only benefits from the low will be a little more cloud cover and highs about 5 degrees cooler than Monday. The low will reach its most western point this evening before starting to move east again. This will pull the shower chances and the cloud cover back to the east as well. A light shower can`t be completely ruled out on Wednesday in the far east, but chances won`t be as high as today. For the rest of the area, expect plenty of sun with a light northerly wind. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday Night through next Tuesday) Issued at 102 AM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024 As the upper low opens into a broader trough Wednesday night, Middle Tennessee will be on the back side of the trough with ridging building from Texas northward toward the Ozarks. That ridging will build eastward Thursday night into the weekend allowing temperatures to warm into the upper 80s to lower 90s starting Thursday and continuing through the weekend. The humidity will be tolerable with dew points in the upper 50s to lower 60s. With those dew points, expect low temperatures in the low to mid 60s. In regards to rain, chances will be very slim through early next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1217 AM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024 VFR conditions will continue for BNA/MQY/CKV. CSV/SRB will likely have MVFR and possibly IFR cigs impact the terminals Tuesday evening. In addition, light showers could impact CSV/SRB from mid morning through the evening off and on. Winds will be out of the N/NNE for the taf period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 84 65 86 65 / 10 10 0 0 Clarksville 87 61 87 63 / 10 10 0 0 Crossville 74 58 79 58 / 30 10 20 0 Columbia 85 60 86 62 / 10 10 0 0 Cookeville 75 61 80 61 / 20 10 10 0 Jamestown 72 61 78 59 / 40 10 20 0 Lawrenceburg 84 59 84 62 / 10 10 0 0 Murfreesboro 84 62 86 63 / 10 10 0 0 Waverly 87 61 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Reagan LONG TERM....Reagan AVIATION.....Reagan