Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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363 FXUS64 KOHX 141730 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1230 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1059 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Did you feel it? This morning`s frontal boundary ripped through here pretty quick and changed...nothing. Southern KY saw a quick shower, but as fast as they appeared on radar, they were gone. In its wake, mostly clear skies continue across the mid-state and there was so little affect from it, dew points are still in the 60s. That means warm and humid will be the story again today. If we see any affect, it could be a degree or two cooler tomorrow. That`s about it. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1059 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 High pressure aloft is still expected to make its presence felt by Sunday. Afternoon highs should be the warmest of the week, with many spots reaching into the upper 90s. Dew points will remain in the mid to upper 60s, so expect Heat Index values to reach triple digits, especially west of the Cumberland Plateau. If you have outdoor plans on Sunday, have somewhere you can get into the shade and cool off. I`m still thinking the ridge aloft should stymie any thunderstorm chances on Sunday, which means Monday will be Middle TN`s best shot at getting some rain in this forecast package. Unfortunately, it`s still not a great shot. Will maintain a 20-30% chance, however, if you get a storm on Monday afternoon, expect brief heavy rainfall, lots of lightning and even the potential for some gusty winds. By Tuesday, expect the start of another extended stretch of dry days across the mid-state. Temperatures should remain very summerish, with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s with nothing too extreme on the horizon. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1225 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 A surface ridge is in the process of sliding across Middle Tennessee today, so we can expect this benign weather pattern to last for the foreseeable future. Surface winds are a little gusty this afternoon, but will diminish by nightfall. Look for radiation fog early Saturday mainly at our Cumberland Plateau airports. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 71 93 69 98 / 0 0 0 10 Clarksville 68 91 66 96 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 65 87 63 90 / 0 0 0 10 Columbia 70 95 68 98 / 0 0 0 10 Cookeville 67 88 67 93 / 0 0 0 10 Jamestown 65 86 63 91 / 0 0 0 10 Lawrenceburg 69 93 68 97 / 0 0 0 10 Murfreesboro 70 94 68 99 / 0 0 0 10 Waverly 69 93 68 97 / 0 0 0 10 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Unger LONG TERM....Unger AVIATION.....Rose