250
FXUS64 KOHX 191131
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
631 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 102 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

It`s quiet across the area tonight with some high clouds passing
by and some patches of fog being noted on the nighttime
microphysics. Additional patches of fog will be possible through
the early morning hours. Today will be a seasonably warm September
day as upper ridging begins to build into the area. Some patchy
fog will be possible again tonight before giving way to another
hot and dry day on Friday. Highs on Friday will be another two or
three degrees warmer than today.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 102 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

The warming trend will carry into the weekend with some locations
climbing into the mid 90s on Saturday. Sunday looks very similar
to Saturday. As we go into the next work week, the upper ridging
will flatten out as a shortwave moves through the central plains.
This will knock temperatures back a few degrees starting on Monday
and could allow for the development of a couple diurnal showers
and storms. The initial shortwave will miss us to the north as it
lifts through the Midwest and Great Lakes Monday night. Models
diverge after that point. Some bring another trough through the
area increasing shower and storm chances by mid week while other
solutions reestablish the upper high over the south leaving a
large upper low over the front range of the Rockies. Let`s hope
for the first solution because we could use some rain.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

MVFR to LIFR conditions are impacting MQY/CSV/SRB this morning due
to some areas of fog. Conditions will improve through the morning
back to VFR. Tonight, SRB/CSV will likely see fog develop once
again. Winds today will be light, generally 5 kts or less.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      91  68  93  68 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    90  66  92  67 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     84  59  86  59 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       89  64  92  64 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     85  62  88  63 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      84  61  86  62 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   89  64  91  64 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   90  64  93  65 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        89  66  91  66 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Cravens