443
FXUS64 KOHX 271715
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1215 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1052 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Yesterday`s frontal passage has completely cleared Middle
Tennessee, but we may still see a few showers this afternoon in
areas to the southeast of Nashville. By this evening, we will be
rain-free. Temperatures today will top out in the 80s, but we`ll
heat right back up starting tomorrow.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1052 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

A lot of the moisture that headed south with yesterday`s fropa
will drift back northward Friday and Saturday. In addition, the
next frontal boundary will approach Middle Tennessee from the
northwest this weekend. This will result in at least isolated
convection tomorrow and tomorrow night, especially along the
Cumberland Plateau, with more widespread activity developing
Saturday, Saturday night, and especially on Sunday with the
expected passage of this surface boundary. Temperatures on
Saturday will be especially hot, and a Heat Advisory may been
needed for Saturday as heat indices are expected to exceed 105F in
many areas west of the Plateau. Temperatures will back off after
Sunday`s fropa -- for a day -- but will spike upward starting on
Tuesday, with Heat Advisory criteria possibly being met next
Wednesday and Thursday. At this time, we are not outlooked for any
severe storms, although the SPC does have a marginal risk area to
our immediate north on Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

MVFR cigs will clear over the next 1-2 hours and then we will see
VFR conditions. Some clouds will linger 040-060 ft into the
evening. Northerly winds up to 10 knots this afternoon becoming
light this evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      71  93  77  96 /   0  20  10  40
Clarksville    67  92  75  94 /   0  10  10  20
Crossville     64  87  69  86 /  10  30  40  70
Columbia       69  92  74  94 /   0  20  20  40
Cookeville     66  88  72  87 /   0  30  30  60
Jamestown      64  88  72  87 /   0  30  40  70
Lawrenceburg   69  91  73  92 /   0  20  20  40
Murfreesboro   69  93  74  94 /   0  20  20  40
Waverly        68  91  74  94 /   0  10  10  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Mueller