711
FXUS64 KOHX 272252
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
552 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1052 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Yesterday`s frontal passage has completely cleared Middle
Tennessee, but we may still see a few showers this afternoon in
areas to the southeast of Nashville. By this evening, we will be
rain-free. Temperatures today will top out in the 80s, but we`ll
heat right back up starting tomorrow.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1052 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

A lot of the moisture that headed south with yesterday`s fropa
will drift back northward Friday and Saturday. In addition, the
next frontal boundary will approach Middle Tennessee from the
northwest this weekend. This will result in at least isolated
convection tomorrow and tomorrow night, especially along the
Cumberland Plateau, with more widespread activity developing
Saturday, Saturday night, and especially on Sunday with the
expected passage of this surface boundary. Temperatures on
Saturday will be especially hot, and a Heat Advisory may been
needed for Saturday as heat indices are expected to exceed 105F in
many areas west of the Plateau. Temperatures will back off after
Sunday`s fropa -- for a day -- but will spike upward starting on
Tuesday, with Heat Advisory criteria possibly being met next
Wednesday and Thursday. At this time, we are not outlooked for any
severe storms, although the SPC does have a marginal risk area to
our immediate north on Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 546 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Southerly wind shift is expected by 12Z. Patchy fog development
in the Cumberland Plateau possible after 06Z but confidence too
low to include in the TAFs. Otherwise VFR conditions prevail.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      71  94  77  96 /   0  20  20  40
Clarksville    67  92  76  94 /   0  10  10  20
Crossville     64  87  69  86 /   0  30  50  70
Columbia       69  93  74  94 /   0  20  20  40
Cookeville     66  89  72  87 /   0  30  40  60
Jamestown      64  88  71  87 /   0  40  40  70
Lawrenceburg   69  91  74  92 /  10  20  20  40
Murfreesboro   69  94  74  94 /   0  20  20  40
Waverly        69  91  74  94 /   0  10  10  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Clements/Payette