413
FXUS66 KOTX 102150
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
250 PM PDT Thu Jul 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler and locally breezy through Thursday evening.

- Warming trend returns Friday with above normal temperatures
  through this weekend.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
After a brief cooldown on Thursday, warm temperatures will
return over the weekend. Conditions will remain dry and winds
will be locally breezy each afternoon across Central Washington.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Thursday afternoon through Sunday: As an upper level trough tracks
across the northeast corner of the region, winds will shift from
west to northwest late Thursday afternoon and evening. In addition
to the wind shift, the wave will bring just enough instability to
keep chances for isolated showers over the northern ID Panhandle
through the evening. Heading into the overnight hours, drier
northerly air will result in clearing skies. As the trough exits the
region and ridging rebuilds, temperatures will begin climbing Friday
and will increase by a few degrees each day through the weekend,
reaching the mid 90s to just over 100 degrees by Sunday. Thermally
induced low pressure at the surface in the afternoons will create a
cross-Cascade pressure gradient and will cause westerly winds to
pick up each afternoon and evening through the Cascade gaps into the
western Columbia Basin.

Monday through Wednesday: The majority of model solutions are in
agreement on a system moving in early next week, bringing cooler
temperatures and an increase in winds which will lead to elevated
fire weather concerns. Uncertainty remains as to how strong the
system will be and exactly how much of an increase in winds it will
bring. We will continue to monitor fire weather conditions for this
time period. /Fewkes

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: VFR conditions are expected to continue for all TAF
sites through 18z Friday. A weak weather system passing north
and east of the area on Thursday will bring a 20% chance of
rain showers to the North Idaho Panhandle, otherwise dry
conditions are expected. The system will also bring about a
wind shift, from west-southwest this morning to north-northwest
heading into Thursday afternoon and evening. Winds will be
locally breezy with gusts of 15-25 kts.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: High confidence
that VFR conditions will continue at all TAF sites. The Hope
and Western Pines Fires over NE Washington could advect some
smoke into the Spokane/Coeur d`Alene area late Thursday
afternoon and evening with the northwest wind shift, though
visibility at the surface is not expected to drop below 6 mi.

-----------------------

Confidence descriptors:
Low - Less than a 30 percent chance
Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance
High - Greater than a 70 percent chance

For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane
airports, please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our
webpage: https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
Spokane        56  89  60  93  63  96 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  55  87  59  91  63  94 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        51  85  54  89  58  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       64  95  66  99  69 101 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       44  87  50  92  53  96 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      51  84  54  88  57  90 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        58  84  62  87  65  90 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     60  93  61  97  65 100 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      63  93  68  96  71  99 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           56  92  62  96  65  99 /   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...None.
ID...None.

&&

$$