Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Spokane, WA
Issued by NWS Spokane, WA
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647 FXUS66 KOTX 012110 AFDOTX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Spokane WA 210 PM PDT Mon Jul 1 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Mountain showers, seasonal temperatures, and breezy winds will recur through Wednesday. A drier and much warmer pattern will set up by the end of the work week. && .DISCUSSION... Tonight through Wednesday: The Inland Northwest will be under the influence of an exiting trough and strengthening ridge for the period. Moisture and instability lingering behind the exiting trough will bring afternoon showers and thunderstorms to Northeast WA and North Idaho. The main impact from the thunderstorms will be lightning and brief heavy rain. Afternoon winds will be breezy across the Basin as elevated winds mix down to the surface. Sustained winds will be in the teens with gusts near 25 MPH. The Cascades Gaps could see stronger gusts into the 30s. Highs will rise a few degrees warmer each day. Highs will be in the upper 70s and 80s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40s and 50s. Thursday through Sunday: The region will be under a strengthening ridge for the period. It will usher in several days of hot, dry conditions. Winds will generally be light with mild increases from the afternoon mixing. Gusts will stay below 20 MPH. The main concern is the prolonged dry, warming period for most of the region. Temperatures will steadily climb through the weekend. For Friday and the weekend, the highs are expected to the upper 80s and 90s. There is the possibility of triple digits for the South Central Washington and the Lower Idaho Panhandle. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50s and 60s. The long dry, hot pattern and 4th of July holiday could make for bad combination. A weak system on Sunday will bring little reprieve from the heat as temperatures rebound back on Monday. /JDC && .AVIATION... 18Z TAFS: VFR conditions expected for the TAF period. Breezy winds expected with stronger winds mixing to the surface during the afternoon. Thunderstorm activity later will be northeast of Spokane (20-04z). FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: High confidence in VFR conditions. ----------------------- Confidence descriptors: Low - Less than a 30 percent chance Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance High - Greater than a 70 percent chance For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports, please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage: https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Spokane 54 80 52 82 54 87 / 10 0 0 10 0 0 Coeur d`Alene 53 77 52 77 52 83 / 10 0 10 10 0 0 Pullman 52 76 49 77 51 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lewiston 60 86 58 85 59 92 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Colville 45 79 45 79 45 85 / 20 10 10 10 0 0 Sandpoint 50 75 48 75 48 81 / 20 20 20 30 10 0 Kellogg 55 73 53 73 54 79 / 10 0 10 20 0 0 Moses Lake 54 86 55 88 55 92 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wenatchee 58 82 57 86 60 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Omak 54 85 55 85 56 92 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 && .OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. WA...None. && $$