277
FXUS64 KOUN 150819
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
319 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 319 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Hot and humid conditions continue today. This afternoon, a slowly-
moving weak upper short wave trough will extend from eastern SD to
the TX panhandle. Residual boundaries from Friday evening storms
will be in place to provide a further focus for thunderstorm
development. Some storms that form along this general axis will
probably move into the northwestern third or so of Oklahoma late
afternoon and into the evening. A few severe wind gusts are
possible.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 319 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

The weak upper wave and any associated thunderstorms
over northern Oklahoma early Sunday will have moved to the northeast
of OK by midday. Much of the next week will be dominated by a strong
upper ridge across the southern U.S. A long-wave trough over the
Great Basin will keep southwesterly flow over the central and
northern plains. Above normal temperatures are expected over the
southern plains through Tuesday when a front approaches northern
Oklahoma. This will bring another chance for showers/thunderstorms
likely continuing into mid-week as the front dissipates over
Oklahoma. Low storm chances continue into late week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1126 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

The showers and thunderstorms across the Oklahoma and Texas
panhandles are expected to decrease as they move east toward
western Oklahoma and into an area with weaker instability,
therefore the probability of these moving into KWWR is low enough
that we will not include showers or storms in the TAF early
Saturday morning, but there is still at least a low chance that
they may affect areas around KWWR. There is a 30 percent chance of
showers/storms affecting KWWR around and after sunset Saturday
evening and have included a PROB30 group for that. Otherwise no
significant aviation concerns are expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  93  74  92  74 /  10  10   0   0
Hobart OK         95  72  95  73 /  20  20   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  93  74  94  75 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           94  69  97  71 /  30  30   0  10
Ponca City OK     95  73  94  73 /   0  20   0   0
Durant OK         93  73  94  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....09
AVIATION...26