443
FXUS64 KOUN 151727
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1227 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 319 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Hot and humid conditions continue today. This afternoon, a slowly-
moving weak upper short wave trough will extend from eastern SD to
the TX panhandle. Residual boundaries from Friday evening storms
will be in place to provide a further focus for thunderstorm
development. Some storms that form along this general axis will
probably move into the northwestern third or so of Oklahoma late
afternoon and into the evening. A few severe wind gusts are
possible.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 319 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

The weak upper wave and any associated thunderstorms
over northern Oklahoma early Sunday will have moved to the northeast
of OK by midday. Much of the next week will be dominated by a strong
upper ridge across the southern U.S. A long-wave trough over the
Great Basin will keep southwesterly flow over the central and
northern plains. Above normal temperatures are expected over the
southern plains through Tuesday when a front approaches northern
Oklahoma. This will bring another chance for showers/thunderstorms
likely continuing into mid-week as the front dissipates over
Oklahoma. Low storm chances continue into late week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

VFR conditions expected to prevail with gusty southerly winds most
of the forecast period. TAF mention of TSRA will be confined to
KWWR and KCSM this forecast issuance as elevated moist layer
interacts with weak and slow moving waves moving out of the
Panhandles. There is a chance for another MCV to develop overnight
and keep scattered high based SHRA/TSRA going toward and beyond
12Z near KLAW/KSPS but probabilities too low to mention with this
issuance. Something to watch for in later forecasts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  93  74  92  74 /  10  10   0   0
Hobart OK         95  72  95  73 /  20  20   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  93  74  94  75 /  10  10   0   0
Gage OK           94  69  97  71 /  30  30  10  10
Ponca City OK     95  73  94  73 /  10  20   0   0
Durant OK         93  73  94  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....09
AVIATION...11