059
FXUS65 KPUB 252038
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
238 PM MDT Wed Sep 25 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Getting HOT once again.

- Isolated showers and storms possible over the mountains,
  especially the Continental Divide, Friday afternoon.

- Above normal temperatures and mostly dry weather through the
  forecast period.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 237 PM MDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Currently...

Skies were clear across the fcst area, and temps were in the
mid 0s to lower 80s across the plains, while L70s were noted
over the valleys. 60s and 70s were noted over mtns.

Next 24 hours...

Not much in the way of change from the current weather. Mid
level ridge will build over the region with dry, clear skies.
The most noticeable change will be the ambient max temps will be
increasing significantly, with temps in the U80s to M90s over
the plains, and these values will be running 8 to 15F above
normal for this time of the year. Although it will be hot
tomorrow, temps are expected to be ~2-4F below record values.
/Hodanish

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 237 PM MDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Will see energy pass to the north and with the previously
mentioned upper low trying to retrograde back west across the
Central CONUS at the start of the period. However, both don`t
look to bring any real big changes to the overall pattern by the
end of the work week. While still above normal, slightly cooler
temperatures are expected across the region on Friday given
some slight push of colder air during this time frame. Precip
chances still look to be low on Friday with some ridging in
place, but with some slight increases in moisture and focus
Friday afternoon, there does appear to be some slight increase
in precip potential over the higher terrain. Moisture and
instability look to be limited though, and expect coverage and
intensity of any shower or storm to be low at this time.

By Saturday into the remainder of the weekend, the ridge really
builds back in across the region providing a continued dry and
above normal temp pattern. Will see a fairly deep upper trough
shift east across the central CONUS early next week. Guidance in
fairly good agreement with keeping this system well
north/northeast of the region, but it does appear to help send a
front south over the plains during this time. Winds will likely
surge with this front along with some cooler temps returning,
though precip chances look really low given the lacking moisture
still in place.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1140 AM MDT Wed Sep 25 2024

VFR conditions near certain the next 24 hours. Winds will be
light and diurnally driven.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...RODRIGUEZ
AVIATION...CLOUSE