779
FNUS75 KPUB 111143
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Bighorn/Stateline Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
543 AM MDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms will develop during the afternoon and may move over
the area of interest. Transport winds will increase out of the
northwest by later in the day, with improving smoke dispersion from
Fair to Good. As winds become light, this will become Poor tonight,
but then improve again from Fair to Good tomorrow. Drier conditions
are anticipated for tomorrow.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(44 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Chance
                    of thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....73F.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest to east around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl until 1000. 7000 ft agl after 1100.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph until 0900, then north
                    around 8 mph until 1300, then west around 9 mph
                    until 1500, then around 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1300, then
                    good until 1400, then fair until 1500, then
                    good.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  37  30  22  34  47  59  66  74  81  80  78
Weather cov.....                SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............45  48  55  61  67  69  71  73  71  71  71  70
RH..............86  80  66  53  43  37  32  30  32  32  31  32
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   10  10  10  14  14  14  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.5 6.0 8.5 9.5 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  W   W   NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   7   8   8   9   9   10  9   13  10  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10006   6   6   15  25  49  67  85  54  77  63  72

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(65 percent) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy(27 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers and thunderstorms until 2200.
LAL.................2 until 2200, then 1.
Min temperature.....47F.
Max humidity........60-65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms until 2200.
Mixing height.......5500 ft agl until 1900, then 1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........76  71  67  62  54  47  40  30  20  10  9   7
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  69  64  60  58  56  54  52  51  49  48  47
RH..............33  35  43  51  53  55  57  61  61  63  65  63
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  9   9   9   9   9   9   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  10  9   8   9   12  10  9   9   9   10  9
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100056  20  7   6   7   8   8   7   7   7   8   7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....79F.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms after 1500.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 1000, then 7000 ft agl until
                    1200, then 6000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1100, then
                    good until 1500, then fair.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   5   4   5   9   15  22  28  35  41  43  44
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Temp............47  51  59  67  74  77  78  79  78  78  79  79
RH..............63  59  47  37  28  24  21  20  20  19  19  20
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.5 3.0 5.5 8.5 12  10  8.0 6.0 5.5 5.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   8   9   12  13  12  12  10  10  12
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/10007   6   11  20  45  86  128 98  80  55  50  49

$$
Forecaster...STEWARD
Requested by...Christipher Clark
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415918.0/PUB
.DELDT 06/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0