Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
687
FNUS75 KPUB 192347
FWSPUB
Spot Forecast for Monument Fire Center...Pike NF
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
547 PM MDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 MDT on June 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible throughout much of the
period of interest. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms will
continue to be a concern through the rest of this evening and
overnight. A period of drier conditions is expected during the
early to mid morning hours of Thursday, with scattered showers and
thunderstorms again becoming a concern Thursday afternoon and
persisting into the early Thursday evening hours, with conditions
drying thereafter. As for winds, they are anticipated to maintain
an overall southerly component, with a transition to a
southwesterly component late Thursday night. Winds will remain
light tonight and Thursday night, with winds increasing Thursday
afternoon, with gusts around 25 mph. Along with all of that,
humidity values will follow the typical diurnal trend, with values
increasing overnight, and decreasing during the day Thursday.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 2100 until
0400.
LAL.................4 until 0300, then 3 until 0500, then 1.
Min temperature.....50F.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms until
0300Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms after 0300.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70 73 75 78 79 81 83 84 85 86 80 74
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2
Temp............52 53 53 51 51 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
RH..............89 88 86 96 96 100 100 100 100 100 100 96
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..13 13 13 12 12 12 9 9 9 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.25 25 25 23 23 23 20 20 20 16 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.21 18 17 16 17 16 17 17 15 15 15 14
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100040 32 25 18 19 18 19 19 16 16 16 15
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny(51 percent). Slight chance of rain
showers and thunderstorms after 1100 until
1200, then chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms until 1700, then slight chance of
rain showers and thunderstorms.
LAL.................1 until 1100, then 3 until 1200, then 4 until
1700, then 3.
Max temperature.....80F.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 13-17 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms after 1100.
Mixing height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Very good after 1000.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68 64 60 56 54 52 50 44 39 39 34 35
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 3 4 4 4 4 4 3
Temp............50 56 61 67 70 75 76 79 79 79 80 75
RH..............96 80 70 59 51 43 40 36 35 35 34 41
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 12 12 12 16 16 16 17 17 17
20 FT wind gust.17 17 17 21 21 21 24 24 24 28 28 28
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.5 4.0 5.0 6.0 6.5 6.5 5.0 4.0
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.15 15 17 17 18 18 20 20 21 23 25 28
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100016 17 29 38 54 66 83 103 116 128 115 91
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(42 percent) until 0100, then
mostly cloudy(58 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers and thunderstorms until 0300.
LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
Min temperature.....54F.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12-16 mph until 2100, then
around 6 mph until 0500. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms until 0300.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 11 mph until 0500, then west
around 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........37 40 44 47 47 46 46 52 59 65 64 64
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1
Temp............74 71 65 63 59 57 57 57 57 56 54 54
RH..............43 47 58 62 72 80 80 77 77 77 83 80
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..16 16 16 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.26 26 26 14 14 14 12 12 12 16 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W
Transp wind spd.18 16 14 12 10 10 9 10 10 12 13 13
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100053 38 17 13 12 11 10 11 11 13 14 14
$$
Forecaster...SIMCOE
Requested by...Christina Barba
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415650.12/PUB
.DELDT 06/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0