497
FNUS75 KPUB 241145
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Oak Ridge...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
545 AM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MDT on June 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated showers and weak thunderstorms are possible near the fire
this afternoon. Main risks with storms today will be gusty outflow
winds, small hail and lightning. The most likely timeframe for
storms today will be between 3pm and 7pm. Other than thunderstorm
winds, expected northwesterly winds at 5 to 10 mph this afternoon
under mostly sunny skies with temperatures in the mid to upper 80s.
Thunderstorm chances decrease tomorrow.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(45 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
LAL.................3 until 1500, then 4 until 1600, then 3 until
                    1700, then 2.
Max temperature.....85-87F.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwesterly at 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms after 1500.
Mixing height.......11500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  42  47  50  54
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH
LAL.............3   3   4   3   2
Temp............84  86  84  84  83
RH..............21  20  21  22  24
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...13  12  12  12  11
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.10  12  12  12  10
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/1000111 114 119 116 98

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(57 percent) until 1900, then
                    partly cloudy(28 percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....62-64F.
Max humidity........39-44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West at 5 mph.
Mixing height.......6500 ft agl until 1900. 1000 ft agl after 2000.
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........57  48  39  30  26  23  19  16  12  9   11  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............81  78  75  72  70  67  66  66  65  65  65  63
RH..............27  30  35  39  38  43  43  43  43  43  42  44
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   7   9   9   9   9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...6.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  9   7   8   9   8   9   9   9   10  12  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100061  26  5   6   7   6   7   7   7   8   8   9

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....85-87F.
Min humidity........14-19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast at 5 mph until 1500, then southeast
around 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms after 1500.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl until 0900, then 9000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 mph until 1100, then north
                    until 1700, then west around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800. Good after 0900.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  16  15  15  14  13  12  17  22  28  32  36
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Temp............64  67  73  79  80  82  84  84  85  85  84  83
RH..............42  39  32  27  25  22  21  19  19  19  20  22
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 2.0 4.5 7.0 8.5 11  11  11  12  9.5 7.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NW  W
Transp wind spd.13  10  10  10  9   9   8   8   9   9   10  10
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/10009   9   20  42  58  70  72  75  90  93  85  66

$$
Forecaster...EHR
Requested by...Pueblo Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416525.2/PUB
.DELDT 06/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0