451
FNUS75 KPUB 221854
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Oak Ridge...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1254 PM MDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MDT on June 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated high based thunderstorms will be possible today and again on Sunday
though these will be very localized.  Gusty erratic winds will be the primary
risk should these move in close proximity to the fire.  Otherwise, winds will
be light with temperatures getting warmer each day through the weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny(58 percent). Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1400.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....80F.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 5-10 mph.  Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......10500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph until 1500. Southeast
                    around 13 mph after 1700.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  57  69  70  70
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   2   2   2   2
Temp............79  79  79  79  80
RH..............26  26  27  27  27
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...11  12  11  11  10
Transp wind dir.NW  W   SW  S   SE
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  10  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/1000122 120 98  96  108

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(62 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy(47 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2000.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....60F.
Max humidity........48-53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 5-10 mph until 2100 then west 4-7 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    until 2000.
Mixing height.......5500 ft agl until 2000, then 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph until 2300, then southwest
                    around 9 mph until 0300, then west around 8
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........71  70  70  69  61  54  46  47  47  48  47  46
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
LAL.............3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............76  74  70  69  67  65  64  63  62  62  61  60
RH..............32  35  42  45  47  48  48  50  52  52  53  53
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  8   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...7.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  SE  S   W   SW  S   SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  10  8   9   8   10  9   10  9   9   9   8
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100071  36  6   7   6   8   7   8   7   7   7   6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(38 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1400 until 1500. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1500.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 until 1500, then 4.
Max temperature.....82F.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 3-8 mph until 1100 then east
                    5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms after 1400.
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl until 1000, then 7000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 6 mph until 1300, then south around
                    10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800. Good after 1100.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  41  36  32  35  39  42  43  44  45  44  42
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   4   4   4
Temp............60  64  72  76  75  77  78  79  79  79  80  81
RH..............53  48  39  36  37  33  32  30  30  29  28  27
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   8   8   8   9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 2.5 3.5 5.0 7.0 7.5 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  SW  S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   7   6   7   7   8   10  12  10  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10006   6   17  20  26  42  47  48  63  72  62  59

$$
Forecaster...TORGERSON
Requested by...Pueblo Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416525.0/PUB
.DELDT 06/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0