009
FNUS75 KPUB 121246
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Monument Fire Center...Pike NF
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
646 AM MDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MDT on June 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry today and hot. Temperatures will be running about 8 to 10
degrees warmer than yesterday. Thunderstorms today will be
isolated at best, and if they do develop they will mainly produce
locally gusty winds. HRRR guidance is showing one or two high
based storms forming in Teller county later this afternoon.

Tomorrow will even be hotter than today, with temperatures
expected to be around 90F. only isolated high based
thunderstorms will be possible.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(31 percent).
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....87F.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 3 to 6 mph until 1200, then north around 8 mph
                    until 1500, Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 1500.
Mixing height.......11000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1700, then good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  17  23  32  40  49  51  52
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Temp............82  85  87  87  87  87  86  85
RH..............21  17  17  18  17  18  19  20
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   8   8   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  18  18  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...8.0 10  12  13  13  14  12  9.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  15  14  13  12  9
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/1000107 130 158 169 155 149 119 74

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(53 percent) until 2000, then
                    partly cloudy(29 percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....57F.
Max humidity........41-46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope 3 to 6 mph
Mixing height.......6500 ft agl until 1900, then 1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 11 mph until 2000, then west
                    around 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54  52  50  48  35  22  10  9   8   8   8   9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............83  78  72  68  65  63  61  60  60  59  59  59
RH..............22  28  37  42  45  44  46  46  46  44  44  42
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  10  10  10  12  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...6.5 3.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.NW  N   W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  10  8   9   8   8   9   9   9   10  13  14
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100064  28  9   9   8   9   10  10  10  11  14  15

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....91F.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Upslope 4 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 1000, then 11000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then good until 1100, then
                    very good until 1700, then good.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  8   7   5   9   13  17  27  36  46  44  43
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............57  65  75  81  84  88  91  91  90  89  89  89
RH..............43  34  25  21  18  15  12  12  13  14  14  14
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  15  15  15  18  18  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.5 1.5 3.0 9.5 12  15  15  14  13  11  9.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  10  9   8   10  13  15  14  14  13  12  10
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/100012  12  13  23  84  133 194 171 164 144 110 80

$$
Forecaster...HODANISH
Requested by...Christina Barba
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415650.6/PUB
.DELDT 06/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0