Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
374
FNUS75 KPUB 111152
FWSPUB
Spot Forecast for Monument Fire Center...Pike NF
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
552 AM MDT Tue Jun 11 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms will develop during the afternoon and will likely move
over the area of interest, or in the vicinity. There could also be a
few stronger to severe storms, which may result in gusty winds
approaching 60 mph, and quarter size hail in diameter. Transport
winds will increase out of the south by later in the day, with
improving smoke dispersion from Fair to Good. As winds become light,
this will become Poor tonight, but then improve again from Fair to
Good tomorrow. Drier conditions are anticipated for tomorrow.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(48 percent). Slight chance of rain
showers until 1200, then chance of rain showers
and thunderstorms.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....79F.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest around 5 mph until 1200, then southeast
around 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms after 1200 until 1300. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
1300.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 1000, then 7000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 mph until 1200. South around
12 mph after 1500.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Good after 1100.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32 30 29 27 35 43 51 57 63 69 67 66
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 4 4 4 4
Temp............53 58 64 69 73 77 78 79 78 78 76 75
RH..............74 69 56 47 40 33 32 34 32 35 36 37
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NE NE NE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 17 17 17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.5 2.5 3.0 5.0 7.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 7.5 6.0 6.0
Transp wind dir.NW N N NW NW W W SW SW S S S
Transp wind spd.12 12 12 9 9 10 9 10 10 10 12 13
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100013 17 24 25 39 66 75 85 84 69 61 69
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(60 percent) until 2000, then
partly cloudy(28 percent) until 0300, then
mostly clear. Chance of rain showers until
1900. Slight chance of thunderstorms until
2100. Slight chance of rain showers after 1900
until 2100.
LAL.................2 until 2100, then 1.
Min temperature.....54F.
Max humidity........62-67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 8 mph until 2100, then
West around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms until 2100.
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl until 2000, then 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph until 0100, then west
around 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........64 56 48 41 32 23 14 11 8 5 6 8
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............74 71 67 63 61 57 57 55 55 54 54 54
RH..............38 42 49 54 60 67 64 66 66 64 59 57
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S SW SW SW W W W
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.17 17 17 14 14 14 13 13 13 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SW W W W W W
Transp wind spd.13 14 12 14 13 12 10 12 14 15 14 14
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/100036 29 13 15 13 12 11 12 15 16 15 15
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....86F.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West around 5 mph until 1200, then north around
8 mph until 1500, then Northwest around 7pm.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 0900, then 10500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1000, then
very good until 1700, then good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10 8 7 6 9 14 18 26 34 41 42 42
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
Temp............55 61 69 76 79 82 85 86 86 86 86 85
RH..............53 42 32 26 23 20 17 17 18 18 18 19
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W N N N NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 9 9 9 12 12 12 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.5 2.0 4.5 7.5 9.5 12 12 12 13 11 9.0
Transp wind dir.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
Transp wind spd.13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 10
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/100013 15 24 50 81 112 136 140 145 149 117 79
$$
Forecaster...STEWARD
Requested by...Christina Barba
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415650.5/PUB
.DELDT 06/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0