952
FXUS65 KREV 260723
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
1223 AM PDT Thu Sep 26 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

* Temperatures will stay well above average through the end of
  September with light daytime breezes.

* Lower confidence the first week of October. Some signs of
  increased breezes and a gradual cooling, but chances for any
  precipitation are staying quite low.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

* Above average heights will persist through the weekend into
  early next week with ensemble spread small. Temperatures will be
  10+ degrees above average which puts afternoon highs pushing 90
  degrees in warmest western NV valleys and 80 degrees for Sierra
  communities. Using Reno-Tahoe Intl Airport for context: This
  morning`s blended guidance shows Saturday as the warmest day
  with 92 degrees. This is 13 degrees above average for the date
  but 3 degrees shy of the record high of 95 degrees.

* There may be a slight bump in southwest winds Saturday
  afternoon, but guidance keeps gusts close to a more typical
  afternoon breeze with gusts around 25 mph for most spots.
  Otherwise, no big wind signals through early next week.

* The long range (first week of October) continues to indicate
  some uncertainty with larger model spread in winds and
  temperatures as ensemble clusters vary on location and timing
  of east Pacific trough. Signs favor a gradual cooling with a
  return to afternoon southwest breezes, but confidence in
  magnitude remains low. In either case, the pattern does not
  favor precipitation with chances remaining below 15%.

Hohmann

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions through the weekend. Lighter winds today and Friday.
Southwest breezes pick up Saturday but nothing too strong, gusts
generally 20-25 kts lasting 2-4 hours at area terminals.

Hohmann

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$