Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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231 FXUS64 KSHV 180638 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 138 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Wednesday through Thursday) Issued at 113 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 The remnants of Francine has finally move out of the region, as it got absorbed by a deepening trough across the Lower Mississippi Valley and SE CONUS. Upper ridging has build across the region in wake of Francine remnants, which has brought us mostly clear skies and light winds this morning. Short-term progs suggest widespread patchy fog will develop over the area in the next few hours, diminishing a couple hours after daybreak. At this time, not expecting widespread dense fog, but we will monitor this closely. Partly cloudy skies and warmer conditions will return to the region today, with highs climbing into the lower 90s areawide. Quiet and warmer conditions will continue into Thursday. Morning lows will start off in the upper 60s to lower 70s again, followed by partly cloudy skies and highs in the low to mid 90s. /20/ && .LONG TERM... (Thursday Night through Wednesday) Issued at 113 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 Upper ridging is expected to remain in place from the end of the work week through the early portions of next week. Expect quiet and mostly sunny conditions during this period, with highs in the low to mid 90s, and overnight lows remaining in the upper 60s to lower 70s. As we move into the middle portions of next week, the ridge will flatten out and start to shift eastward, as an approaching longwave trough moves into the Southern Plains out of the Rockies. Long-range progs continue to suggest the trough could make it into our extreme northern sections as early as Tuesday evening, just north of the Interstate 30 corridor, resulting in rain chances across portions of Southeast Oklahoma and adjacent Southwest Arkansas. The trough and associated cool front is expected to push into the region on Wednesday, bringing a return in widespread rain chances. /20/ && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1150 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024 Mostly a cloud free airspace ovhd attm and will prevail that to begin the 06z TAF package. With light winds, may see some basin fog spread out and impact a few terminals closer to sunrise and some of this could become dense but will hold off on anything other than MVFR reductions to VSBY with this package and address anything more dense with the 12z TAF package. Otherwise, a weak cu field will develop today but it should not be as expansive or concentrated as what we have seen the last couple days. Thus, beyond mid morning with any VSBY concerns, VFR conditions should prevail through the day and into the evening hours tonight. Look for mostly variable winds under 10kts today. 13 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 91 73 93 74 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 90 69 91 68 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 89 66 93 68 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 89 70 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 89 66 92 68 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 93 73 95 73 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 92 71 93 72 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 92 73 92 73 / 0 0 0 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...20 LONG TERM....20 AVIATION...13