222
FXUS64 KSHV 211744
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1244 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1056 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

As of 10:45 AM, temperatures are already approaching the upper 80s
with mostly sunny skies. Afternoon temperature maximums will reach
the low-to-mid 90s with light easterly winds. With weather and
observed trends continuing as anticipated, forecast grid
adjustments were not necessary at this time. /16/

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday)
Issued at 155 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Quiet weather remains in the forecast to start our weekend, as
upper-level ridging slightly bulks up to our east. Given the
placement of the high pressure, there is at least some chance that
some showers get pushed into our SE zones, so I have introduced
some low-end PoPs to account for this chance. Other than that, the
warming trend really gets under way today, extending well into the
long-term.

/44/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 155 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

As the ridge builds and shifts west into the weekend, our already
hot temperatures will continue to climb. Many locations could be
approaching triple-digits by Sunday, with many more actually
reaching triple-digits by Monday. In turn, it sure looks like heat
products will be needed to start the new workweek, as ApparentT`s
look to climb over 105 degrees. However, the ridge looks to erode
towards the middle of the workweek, as a trough and cold front
begin to move into the Midwest. There is still a lot of
discrepancy with this system, but if we`re lucky the low pressure
will drop south enough for us to see some decent rain through
Wednesday afternoon. Unfortunately, it doesn`t look like this
system will do much for our afternoon highs, as mid to upper-90s
are still anticipated through the rest of the week.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the TAF period ending
22/18Z. Currently at all terminals, few to scattered clouds are
present around 3-4kft but will improve around 22/00Z. Overnight,
winds will be light and variable. Across TYR/LFK/GGG, southwest
winds to increase to around 6 knots after 22/14Z. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  78  98  78  99 /  10   0   0   0
MLU  73  96  75  98 /  10   0   0   0
DEQ  69  94  72  97 /  10   0   0   0
TXK  74  96  76 100 /  10   0   0   0
ELD  71  95  74  98 /  10   0   0   0
TYR  75  95  75  97 /  10   0   0   0
GGG  74  95  75  97 /  10   0   0   0
LFK  74  95  71  97 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...05