Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
675 FXUS64 KSJT 160823 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 323 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024 ...New LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 258 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024 Another warm day in store will upper ridging aloft. Some of the CAMS including the HRRR and NAM nest, develop one or two brief showers and thunderstorms late afternoon and evening, but activity should be much less than on Sunday. Given the very low potential, will keep storms out of the forecast. Highs will be mainly in the lower to mid 90s today, with upper 60s tonight. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 315 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024 ...Warmer than normal temperatures through at least Saturday... ...Weak cold front arrives Sunday with a chance for showers and storms... In general, an upper level trough will remain just far enough off to the west through Saturday to keep an upper level ridge in place across West Central Texas. This means above normal temperatures with highs mainly in the low to mid 90s across the area. Some of the models do indicate a weak shortwave making a little closer approach by Wednesday afternoon to produce a few showers and storms across portions of the South Plains and Red River Valley. Models have this dissipating north of the area, but given how slowly the convection dissipated on Sunday evening, expect the convection Wednesday to linger a little longer as well and perhaps reach into portions of the northwest Big Country by Wednesday evening. Otherwise, main weather story will come with the arrival of a weak cold front for Sunday and Monday, bringing a chance of at least isolated showers and storms and a little cooler temperatures. Nothing looks terribly drastic at this point but some highs down in the upper 80s looks possible, and will continue the mention of 20% to 30% POPs at this point. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1107 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2024 VFR next 24 hours. KJCT is likely having visibility problems with haze being reported between 1/2 and 4 miles. Winds will generally Southeast to south 8 KTS or less. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 94 69 95 72 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 95 69 96 72 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 94 68 95 70 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 93 68 95 69 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 94 71 95 72 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 91 68 92 72 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 92 69 94 70 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...42 LONG TERM....07 AVIATION...04