838
FXUS64 KSJT 231938
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
238 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 214 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024

High pressure will continue to slowly build across the region. Hot
and dry conditions will result. A few areas will likely see the
triple digits across the region this afternoon into early next
week as the temperatures will continue on an upward trend.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 238 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024

The 500mb ridge will continue to be the main feature driving weather
conditions through the upcoming week.  The ridge should build in
over Texas with heights topping out at 592 dam, while 850mb
temperatures look to be in the 18-22 deg C range, pushing to 24 deg
C by midweek. As a result, afternoon temperatures are expected to be
in the upper 90s to around 100 to start the week, then reach the 100-
105 degree range for Wednesday and Thursday.  Southerly surface flow
should also keep humidity levels up, with dewpoints of 65-70
expected. Overnight lows will likely be in the upper 70s due to the
muggy conditions. One potential limiting factor, given the steady
low-level moisture, could be lingering cloud cover from nightly
stratus decks that may occur from the Concho Valley southward. These
areas may end up being several degrees cooler than areas north of
the Concho Valley. Towards the end of the week, models show the
ridge starting to break down as a cold front drops into Oklahoma and
north Texas.  Chances for rain still look fairly low at this time,
but this will monitored over the next couple of days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024

Light winds and VFR conditions will prevail for the remainder of
the TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     74  97  78 100 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  74 100  77 101 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    73  97  75  97 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   72  96  76  97 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  74  98  77 100 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       72  96  75  96 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       72  94  75  96 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...41