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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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092 FXUS64 KSJT 151711 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1211 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 148 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 A rather rinse-and-repeat forecast is on tap for the short-term. The shortwave trough responsible for this evening`s shower and thunderstorm activity across eastern New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle will continue to move east into Oklahoma today, leaving our area in weak northwest flow aloft. Partly to mostly sunny skies will allow temperatures to climb back into the mid and upper 90s, with some locations in the western Big Country and Concho Valley potentially reaching triple digits. Similar to yesterday, isolated to scattered thunderstorms will form well off to our west across the southern High Plains and the higher terrain of Southwest Texas during the afternoon and evening hours. Unfortunately, hi-resolution guidance consistently shows this activity dissipating as it starts to approach our area so local impacts should be limited to some increased cloud cover, especially across the Big Country. Overnight lows will continue on their mild trend in the low to mid 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 148 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Expect mainly hot and dry conditions through early next week as an upper level ridge builds across the Southern Plains. Highs will be in the 90s to around 102 with lows only cooling into the 70s. Please follow heat safety precautions. An influx of tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and weak upper level disturbances will bring a low chance of showers and a few thunderstorms Thursday and Friday. Temperatures will be cooler with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s due to potential rainfall and cloud cover. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Satellite images and surface observations indicate mid level clouds continue to develop across southeast portions of the CWA with a few high clouds moving across the rest of west central Texas early this afternoon. Expect VFR conditions to prevail across the CWA the rest of the afternoon into this evening as northerly flow aloft continues to provide subsidence across the area. Some MVFR conditions may develop across portions of the northwest Hill Country late tonight into early Sun morning as low level moisture allows some low clouds to develop. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 75 95 74 95 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 75 100 74 100 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 73 97 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 72 92 73 92 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 75 98 74 97 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 72 96 72 97 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 72 92 72 92 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...50 LONG TERM....21 AVIATION...61