Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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532
FXUS64 KSJT 241956
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
256 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon
and evening, mainly in the southeastern portion of our forecast
area. In fact, we are starting to see some cumulus clouds develop
in the I-10 corridor, which could be a precursor for storms in
the next few hours. These storms should decrease in coverage after
sunset. Another cold front is expected to move through the area
overnight, exiting our southern counties tomorrow morning. We
could see some scattered showers and thunderstorms as the front
moves through. The storms are expected to remain below severe
thresholds, but lightning, heavy rain, and gusty winds will be
possible. Highs will drop a few degrees for Wednesday and rain
chances will decrease once the front moves out of the area,
leaving dry conditions for Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 244 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Overall quiet weather is expected as we close out September. On
Thursday and Friday, our area will lie between a cutoff upper
level low over the Lower Mississippi Valley and an upper level
ridge over the southwestern U.S. This will put us in dry
northerly flow between these two features. The aforementioned
upper low begins to lift off to the north into the Ohio Valley
over the weekend while the upper level high expands eastward. This
will mean a continued warm and dry pattern as we head into
October. Highs on Thursday and Friday will be in the mid 80s
warming into the upper 80s to lower 90s for Saturday and Sunday.
Lows will drop off into the 50s and lower 60s each morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

MVFR ceilings are scattering out of the area, leaving VFR
conditions for the rest of today. Morning storms have cleared out,
but we could see additional showers and thunderstorms for a few
hours this afternoon and evening for KJCT and KBBD. A cold front
will move through overnight, turning winds from the north.
Additional showers and thunderstorms will be possible along the
front, but right now uncertainty is too high to include the
mention of storms for most of the TAF sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     65  82  57  83 /  20  10   0   0
San Angelo  66  83  57  84 /  10   0   0   0
Junction    66  85  57  84 /  20  10   0   0
Brownwood   66  81  57  83 /  30  10   0   0
Sweetwater  64  82  59  83 /  10   0   0   0
Ozona       66  84  56  84 /  10   0   0   0
Brady       67  82  57  82 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AP
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...AP